On Outliers and Party ID
Last week, the Gallup organization released a survey sponsored by CNN and USAToday, fielded February 4-6, that appeared to show a surge in President Read More…
Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal
Last week, the Gallup organization released a survey sponsored by CNN and USAToday, fielded February 4-6, that appeared to show a surge in President Read More…
So many good topics, so little time. Several items appeared in the past 48 hours that are worth passing along.
Slate’s David Kenner and William SaletaRead More…
Not surprisingly, Alan Abramowitz took exception to my comments earlier today. In the interest of fairness, I am posting a portion of his email replyRead More…
In Part I of this thread, I listed pollsters that weight by demographics but not by party identification, including the ABC News/Washington Post poll.Read More…
I have so far discussed two different philosophies of weighting by party. The purist model — still the choice of most media pollsters — weights samRead More…
In my last post on party identification, I promised to turn next to pollsters who weight by party. I’d like to finish up this thread with a discussioRead More…
I have to admit I didn’t see the MoveOn.org newspaper ad attacking Gallup until very late last night. And when I did I was somewhat taken aback by Read More…
I want to return to the issue of weighting, beginning with a question commenter Ted H: What puzzles me about the idea of weighting by party ID is thRead More…
The debate over whether pollsters should statistically adjust (or weight) their samples by party identification has been heated during campaign 2004.&Read More…
My post on weighting by Party generated by far the most comment, and has left a few good questions unanswered. I’ll try to answer them in the next Read More…