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Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Category: Weighting by Party

The Latest from CBS/NYT

May 10, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on The Latest from CBS/NYT

Another day, another very high profile poll release.  Today, it’s the latest from the CBS/New York Times (see NYTimes article, results; CBS articRead More…

Rasmussen Adopts Dynamic Party Weighting

May 1, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Rasmussen Adopts Dynamic Party Weighting

As promised here on MP, pollster Scott Rasmussen yesterday announced a new party weighting procedure for his automated tracking survey:Beginning todayRead More…

Rasmussen and Party ID – Part II

April 19, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on Rasmussen and Party ID – Part II

One of the challenges in evaluating the data available from Rasmussen Reports is that Scott Rasmussen’s methodology involves two significant departurRead More…

Rasmussen and Party ID – Part I

April 13, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on Rasmussen and Party ID – Part I

And speaking of putting the results of the new “automated” surveys under a microscope, we have some new data this week on party identification from aRead More…

“The Tide Has Turned on Party ID”

April 4, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal11 Comments on “The Tide Has Turned on Party ID”

Last week, Gallup posted an analysis of the long term trend in party identification.  Unfortunately, by the time I got a chance to read Jeff JonRead More…

New Polls, Old Arguments

March 14, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal35 Comments on New Polls, Old Arguments

New polls are out this morning from both CBS (story, results) and CNN/USAToday/Gallup (CNN story & results, USAToday story) that show continuing lRead More…

The latest from CNN/USAToday/Gallup

March 3, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on The latest from CNN/USAToday/Gallup

The latest CNN/USAToday/Gallup poll is out this morning, and it generally confirms the results of the surveys released earlier in the week from CBS NRead More…

Belated Update: Gallup on Weighting by Party

February 16, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal8 Comments on Belated Update: Gallup on Weighting by Party

After yesterday’s post on Gallup’s decision to start reporting two different types of rolling averages regarding the president’s job approval rating, Read More…

Party ID Updates

January 26, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Party ID Updates

Here is another quick update on some interesting releases over the last week or so on the subject of party identification from Harris and Gallup.&nbspRead More…

ABC/Washington Post on Judicial Nominees

April 27, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal24 Comments on ABC/Washington Post on Judicial Nominees

The conservative wing of the blogosphere took great exception yesterday to the latest survey from the Washington Post and ABC News that gave front paRead More…

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