Polling Has Changed. The Way We Read (And Sometimes Misread) It Has Not.
In the 15 years since I started writing MysteryPollster, pre-election polling has changed a lot, yet when it comes to what we expect from polls, muchRead More…
Category: Uncategorized
Impeachment Update: No Signs of Non-Response Error
Support for impeaching and removing President Donald Trump from office has increased to near majority support on a wide variety of polRead More…
Happy Anniversary
Yes, hard to believe, but it was exactly one year ago today that I wrote my first post on sampling error. At the time, I was not sure if this eRead More…
NCPP Special Citation
Just wanted to pass on some very flattering news for MP. The National Council of Public Polls (NCPP) today announced the winners of it’s "ERead More…
One Less Mystery
One more puzzle I can help demystify: Those ever so slightly variant numbers from the Washington Post and ABC News, the numbers based on the same datRead More…
Kohut’s Op-Ed Piece
Since my email box was chock full of forwarded copies of Andrew Kohut’s op-ed piece on polling in this morning’s New York Times, I thought I would bloRead More…
Off Topic: Fox News Hacked?
A break from polling for a moment.
Josh Marshall has been posting this afternoon (here, here and here) about a mysterious story about John Kerry that Read More…
The First Debate: Who Won?
Murphy’s Law might explain why a week after starting a blog, my home DSL and phone service has been out for three days running (perhaps that should beRead More…
How do pollsters select “likely voters?”
I am currently at work on a detailed series of postings on how pollsters select likely voters. Clicking on this link will display short excerpts of Read More…