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MysteryPollster

Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Category: The 2004 Race

Battleground States

October 22, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal35 Comments on Battleground States

Perhaps because I spend more time writing a blog these days and less time reading them, but I have seen very little attention given to this fact: In Read More…

Ohio

October 20, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal36 Comments on Ohio

The main page on RealClearPolitics tonight shows a set of results for Ohio that has political junkies scratching their heads nationwide: OH: ABC: Read More…

Poll of Polls

October 19, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal11 Comments on Poll of Polls

Alert reader JM tipped me off to the fact that Bill Schneider has reprised his “poll of polls” summary on CNN’s Inside Politics. According to the traRead More…

The Race Tightens

October 10, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal20 Comments on The Race Tightens

As long as I’m back on the topic of debates, it is worth remembering that media coverage of the debate typically has more impact than the immediate reRead More…

More on the Incumbent Rule

October 8, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal8 Comments on More on the Incumbent Rule

Several readers took strong exception to my discussion of the incumbent rule, the idea that undecided voters tend to “break” toward the incumbentchallRead More…

The Incumbent Rule

October 3, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal44 Comments on The Incumbent Rule

In discussing recent poll results, I said last week that I tend to focus most on President Bush’s job rating and percentage of the vote (which tend toRead More…

The Newsweek Poll

October 3, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal8 Comments on The Newsweek Poll

Newsweek Magazine released a survey last night, “the first national telephone poll using a fresh sampleā€ of all registered voters nationally since TRead More…

Where does the presidential race stand today?

September 28, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

I comment from time to time on what the polls are saying about where the presidential race stands. Click on this link to display short excerpts of alRead More…

Little Change in September

September 28, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal22 Comments on Little Change in September

Virtually every national survey organization following the presidential race released new surveys in the last four days. Is there any sign of a changRead More…

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