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Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Category: Sampling Issues

Internet Polling: Unfulfilled Promise

July 11, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on Internet Polling: Unfulfilled Promise

An update on the topic of Internet based political polling: Last week, I noted that some influential academic research on public opinion and the Iraq Read More…

Ideology as a “Diagnostic?” – Part II

June 15, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal12 Comments on Ideology as a “Diagnostic?” – Part II

In Part One of this series, we looked at the differences in yearlong averages for self-reported ideology reported by four different pollsters:  Read More…

Ideology as a “Diagnostic?” – Part I

June 6, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on Ideology as a “Diagnostic?” – Part I

A few weeks ago, blogger Gerry Daly (Dalythoughts) took a close look at self-reported ideology as reported on several national polls.  Daly was Read More…

AAPOR Remainders

May 17, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

Some additional items of interest from the AAPOR conference
Peter Coy of Businessweek was also on hand and filed some commentary.  One point he eRead More…

More on Dueling Florida Polls

March 1, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on More on Dueling Florida Polls

Another update on my last post on the mysterious difference in opinion on whether Jeb Bush should run for president as measured by two publicly releaRead More…

Should Jeb Run…Or Not:?

February 25, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on Should Jeb Run…Or Not:?

The Hotline (subscription required) caught an intriguing polling conflict yesterday.  A just released Quinnipiac poll of 1,007 Florida "voteRead More…

Lessons: Mobile Phones

November 14, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on Lessons: Mobile Phones

In today’s Washington Post, Richard Morin provides an important epilogue on the issue of mobile-phone-only voters. As I wrote before the election, sRead More…

Military Absentees?

October 18, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal6 Comments on Military Absentees?

And speaking of uncovered voters… Several readers asked about active duty military personnel stationed overseas who will vote by absentee ballot. Read More…

More on Mobile Phones

October 17, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal8 Comments on More on Mobile Phones

I want to clarify a few points from Friday’s post on mobile phones, based on some of the very thoughtful reader comments.  First, it is temptingRead More…

Mobile Phones

October 15, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal48 Comments on Mobile Phones

Arianna Huffington, a frequent critic of political polling, is weighing in once again with an indictment of the "downright dangerous impact that Read More…

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