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Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Category: Sampling Issues

The Fix: IVR Surveys & Response Rates

July 13, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on The Fix: IVR Surveys & Response Rates

Yesterday (just before the Typepad outage that prevented me from posting all day), Chris Cillizza’s The Fix blog at WashingtonPost.com took a helpful Read More…

Corrections!: An AMA Spring Break Update

June 1, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on Corrections!: An AMA Spring Break Update

We have had some new developments over the last few days regarding the online Spring Break study conducted earlier this year by the American Medical ARead More…

Mobile Phone Update

May 16, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on Mobile Phone Update

Two important reports were released over the last few days on the growing number of Americans with a mobile phone but no “wired” phone service and thRead More…

Mom’s Pay: Another Non-Random Sample

May 11, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Mom’s Pay: Another Non-Random Sample

The Wall Street Journal Online’s Carl Bialik is on the case of another non-random sample survey conducted online.  In this week’s Numbers Guy colRead More…

An Online Poll on an Online Activity

April 26, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal6 Comments on An Online Poll on an Online Activity

One of the gratifying things about writing this blog is the collective power of Mystery Pollster readers.  Last week, I emailed some questions tRead More…

The AMA Spring Break Survey – Part II

March 29, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal12 Comments on The AMA Spring Break Survey – Part II

Picking up where we left off yesterday, the AMA’s Spring Break survey has problems other than the disclosure of its methodology.  We must also cRead More…

The AMA Spring Break Survey – Part I

March 28, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal11 Comments on The AMA Spring Break Survey – Part I

Last week, MP discussed a not-quite projective study of evacuees from Hurricane Katrina published by the New York Times.  I noted the effort madRead More…

On Random Sampling and NYT Katrina Evacuee Study

March 23, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

An article in yesterday’s New York Times on interviews conducted among Katrina evacuees raises some very important questions about how to use a surveyRead More…

Zogby Troop Poll: The Random Probability Sample

March 3, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal12 Comments on Zogby Troop Poll: The Random Probability Sample

On the Zogby poll of U.S. troops in Iraq, I need to make one point that was implicit in my comments on Wednesday a bit more explicit.  While muchRead More…

About that YouGov Poll of British Muslims

July 28, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal10 Comments on About that YouGov Poll of British Muslims

Reader BK emailed with a question about a survey of Muslims in the United Kingdom conducted for the London Daily Telegraph by the company YouGov just Read More…

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