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Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Category: President Bush

On Fox, Pew, Outliers and the Bush Trend

January 13, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal4 Comments on On Fox, Pew, Outliers and the Bush Trend

Today I want to report with an assortment of observations relevant to our recent discussions of the Bush job rating and “house effects,” including coRead More…

And Pew Makes Four

January 11, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

Tonight we have another national survey to consider, this one released earlier today by the Pew Research Center (report, topline questionnaire , crosRead More…

Three New Polls

January 10, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Three New Polls

CBS News, ABC/Washington Post and Gallup/CNN/USAToday each released new surveys over the last 24 hours.  The three polls each take in-depth lookRead More…

‘Twas the Survey Before Christmas…

December 23, 2005November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal6 Comments on ‘Twas the Survey Before Christmas…

As things wind down a bit before the holidays, I want to put a little perspective on our recent speculation about the trends in attitudes about PresiRead More…

Not Such An Outlier After All?

December 19, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on Not Such An Outlier After All?

The Diageo/Hotline Poll…(story, press release, full results) shows a very different result for the Bush job rating: 50% approve, 47% disapprove.&nbsRead More…

Outliers Happen

December 18, 2005November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal6 Comments on Outliers Happen

Two new national surveys released late last week add yet another wrinkle to the question of whether the approval ratings of President Bush are on theRead More…

Bush Bump-Up Stall?: Pew, NBC/WSJ & Zogby

December 15, 2005November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal4 Comments on Bush Bump-Up Stall?: Pew, NBC/WSJ & Zogby

Yesterday saw releases of two new national surveys by the Pew Research Center (report, questionnaire, tables) and NBC/Wall Street Journal (full resulRead More…

Bush “Bump Up” Update: Gallup/CNN/USAToday

December 12, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal4 Comments on Bush “Bump Up” Update: Gallup/CNN/USAToday

The National Journal is reporting this morning, via the (subscription only)  Hotline Wake-Up Call, that the latest survey from Gallup shows:&nbspRead More…

Bush “Bump Up” Update: CBS/NYTimes Poll

December 8, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal6 Comments on Bush “Bump Up” Update: CBS/NYTimes Poll

The latest CBS News/New York Times survey out this morning (conducted December 2-6) shows a five percentage point gain in President Bush’s approval raRead More…

More on Rasmussen

December 7, 2005November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on More on Rasmussen

I want to follow-up briefly on one point raised by yesterday’s post on recent patterns in the Bush job rating.  Professor Franklin’s graphic shoRead More…

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