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Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Category: Nonresponse

Gelman: Nonresponse Not So Rare

October 1, 2019October 1, 2019 Mark BlumenthalLeave a Comment on Gelman: Nonresponse Not So Rare

In yesterday’s Fivethirtyeight article, I argued that evidence of nonresponse bias is “hard to come by,” with the exception of “the highest of hRead More…

Another ‘Phantom Swing’? Investigating Differential Nonresponse in 2018

September 27, 2019October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Another ‘Phantom Swing’? Investigating Differential Nonresponse in 2018

In an era of single digit response rates, many Americans distrust polls and some say they are inherently skewed. The truth is more complicated. PollsRead More…

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