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Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Category: Measurement Issues

Ideology as a Diagnostic, Part III

June 21, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Ideology as a Diagnostic, Part III

In Part I of this series, MP suggested that small differences in self-reported ideology as reported by four different pollsters during 2004 could be Read More…

Westhill/Hotline Poll on “Moral Values”

June 9, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on Westhill/Hotline Poll on “Moral Values”

Today, the National Journal’s Hotline released their latest Westhill Partners/Hotline Poll.  Two things of note there for MP’s readers:  FiRead More…

Ideology as a “Diagnostic?” – Part I

June 6, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on Ideology as a “Diagnostic?” – Part I

A few weeks ago, blogger Gerry Daly (Dalythoughts) took a close look at self-reported ideology as reported on several national polls.  Daly was Read More…

More on Dueling Florida Polls

March 1, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on More on Dueling Florida Polls

Another update on my last post on the mysterious difference in opinion on whether Jeb Bush should run for president as measured by two publicly releaRead More…

Should Jeb Run…Or Not:?

February 25, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on Should Jeb Run…Or Not:?

The Hotline (subscription required) caught an intriguing polling conflict yesterday.  A just released Quinnipiac poll of 1,007 Florida "voteRead More…

R. Chung’s “Bias” Charts

February 24, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal4 Comments on R. Chung’s “Bias” Charts

Having linked last week to a graphical representation of the President’s job approval rating, I want to point to another set of graphics that takes DRead More…

When Respondents Lie

February 11, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal18 Comments on When Respondents Lie

Yesterday, I talked to two junior high school students doing a school project on political polling.    One of their questions was, "Do Read More…

Measurement Error…in the Count

December 15, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on Measurement Error…in the Count

A quick break from exit polls… Alert JW, a resident of Washington State, asks this interesting question highly relevant to the ongoing recount in tRead More…

Pew on “Moral Values”

November 12, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal8 Comments on Pew on “Moral Values”

The Pew Research Center released a new study yesterday, a follow-up interview with 1203 voters who were originally surveyed in October that sheds inteRead More…

MoralValues

November 7, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on MoralValues

Saturday’s New York Times had three articles on the other big exit poll issue this week: The question that showed 22% of voters choosing "moral vRead More…

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