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Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Category: Measurement Issues

Gallup’s Newport on Real Wiretapping Polls

February 24, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on Gallup’s Newport on Real Wiretapping Polls

Let’s stay on the subject of the domestic eavesdropping issue, but go back to what real polls have to say about it.  Today, Gallup’s Frank NewpoRead More…

So When Is An Attitude Really An Attitude?

January 12, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on So When Is An Attitude Really An Attitude?

I want to add a few quick follow-up thoughts on yesterday’s topic:  The large differences across four national surveys in the number who offeredRead More…

And Pew Makes Four

January 11, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

Tonight we have another national survey to consider, this one released earlier today by the Pew Research Center (report, topline questionnaire , crosRead More…

More on Rasmussen

December 7, 2005November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on More on Rasmussen

I want to follow-up briefly on one point raised by yesterday’s post on recent patterns in the Bush job rating.  Professor Franklin’s graphic shoRead More…

Polling the “Strategy for Victory”

December 5, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal8 Comments on Polling the “Strategy for Victory”

A story on the front of Sunday’s New York Times shines new light on the work on support for the Iraq War by Chris Gelpi, Peter Feaver, and Jason ReiflRead More…

Columbus Dispatch Poll: Past Performance No Guarantee of Future Results

November 18, 2005November 14, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on Columbus Dispatch Poll: Past Performance No Guarantee of Future Results

“Past performance is no guarantee of future results.”  We typically hear that disclaimer applied to financial investments, but in an era of declRead More…

California Propositions: Pollster Showdown

October 24, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

MP apologizes for sparse posting over the next day or so, as his "day job" with little time for blogging. In the meantime, readers may wantRead More…

About that YouGov Poll of British Muslims

July 28, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal10 Comments on About that YouGov Poll of British Muslims

Reader BK emailed with a question about a survey of Muslims in the United Kingdom conducted for the London Daily Telegraph by the company YouGov just Read More…

Sneaky Plame Poll? Part II

July 27, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on Sneaky Plame Poll? Part II

So, as promised in Part I, let’s continue to consider the post on Redstate.org last week by Jay Cost (aka the Horserace Blogger)  that sharply crRead More…

Sneaky Plame Poll? A Reality Check

July 21, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal6 Comments on Sneaky Plame Poll? A Reality Check

Earlier this week, ABC News released poll results concerning the federal investigation of the leak of CIA operative Valerie Plame’s identity.  ThRead More…

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