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Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Category: Measurement Issues

The NYT Reader’s Guide to Polls

August 29, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal4 Comments on The NYT Reader’s Guide to Polls

Jack Rosenthal, a former senior editor of the New York Times, filled in as the guest Public Editor” this past Sunday and devoted the column to a remaRead More…

Even More on Measurement Error

July 27, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

Tuesday’s post on a question wording experiment by Rasmussen Reports yielded some interesting comments and email.  Here is a sample. The RasmRead More…

Rasmussen Update: A Lesson in Measurement Error

July 25, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on Rasmussen Update: A Lesson in Measurement Error

Although still playing catch-up on the “day job,” I want to highlight something that has appeared without fanfare over the last week on Bush job apprRead More…

Words Worth Remembering

May 31, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal4 Comments on Words Worth Remembering

One of the great rewards of writing this blog is the incredible diversity of its readers — everyone from ordinary political junkies to the some of thRead More…

MP on NSA Polls on CBS Public Eye

May 26, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on MP on NSA Polls on CBS Public Eye

Today I accepted an invitation to contribute to the "Outside Voices" feature on the CBS News blog "Public Eye."  My post — aRead More…

Generic Ballot: What Does it Measure?

May 25, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on Generic Ballot: What Does it Measure?

Several readers have asked for my opinion on the so-called “generic vote” or “generic ballot” asked on national surveys to gauge Congressional vote pRead More…

More on Rasmussen, Immigration & Third Parties

May 8, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal8 Comments on More on Rasmussen, Immigration & Third Parties

Today, thanks to  pollster Scott Rasmussen, we have an update on that hypothetical third-party/immigration question he asked a few weeks ago on oRead More…

The Question That Answers Itself

April 21, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on The Question That Answers Itself

A few weeks ago, our friend Mickey Kaus described a question asked on a recent Time Magazine poll as having "comically biased wording."&nbspRead More…

Rasmussen and Party ID – Part I

April 13, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on Rasmussen and Party ID – Part I

And speaking of putting the results of the new “automated” surveys under a microscope, we have some new data this week on party identification from aRead More…

The Perils of Double Negatives

March 21, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on The Perils of Double Negatives

Gallup’s David Moore has posted an analysis this morning (free for today only) with an important lesson on how to write – or perhaps, how not to writeRead More…

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