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MysteryPollster

Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Do undecided voters break for the challenger?

September 28, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

When pollsters interpret results for a race involving an incumbent, most are at least aware of a phenomenon observed for telephone surveys over the laRead More…

Are polls missing people with mobile phones?

September 28, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

These two posts from 2004 address discuss the issue of how households with cell phones but no "landline" service can affect telephone surveyRead More…

Where does the presidential race stand today?

September 28, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

I comment from time to time on what the polls are saying about where the presidential race stands. Click on this link to display short excerpts of alRead More…

Can polls tell who won a debate?

September 28, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

Start with these two posts on how instant polls and focus group aim to evaluate how candidates faired in a debate: Instant post-debate polls
Focus GrRead More…

Other questions

September 28, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

More frequently asked questions – click the link for answers:
Can polls tell who won a debate?
Why do retrospective questions about the 2000 race showRead More…

Little Change in September

September 28, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal22 Comments on Little Change in September

Virtually every national survey organization following the presidential race released new surveys in the last four days. Is there any sign of a changRead More…

More on Party ID

September 27, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal6 Comments on More on Party ID

My post on weighting by Party generated by far the most comment, and has left a few good questions unanswered. I’ll try to answer them in the next Read More…

The Odd Specialization

September 27, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on The Odd Specialization

I’m slowly digging out from under the many comments and emails last week. Thanks to everyone who stopped by. I’ve got a long list of questions tRead More…

About Mystery Pollster

September 26, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on About Mystery Pollster

Contact
Email Address: questions@pollster.com
Website: http://www.pollster.com
Phone: 202-393-3195 Biography
I have been in the political polling busRead More…

Pop Quiz

September 25, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on Pop Quiz

Blogger Dalythoughts dug into the 2002 post-election analysis by the National Council on Public Polls (NCCP) and discovered what can happen when a polRead More…

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