Where I’m headed
I made a list tonight of the topics I would like to cover over the next three weeks. A series on how pollsters define and identify likely voters
WirRead More…
Category: Legacy blog posts
Dissenting View
Not surprisingly, Alan Abramowitz took exception to my comments earlier today. In the interest of fairness, I am posting a portion of his email replyRead More…
Why & How Pollsters Weight, Part IV
In Part I of this thread, I listed pollsters that weight by demographics but not by party identification, including the ABC News/Washington Post poll.Read More…
Why & How Pollsters Weight, Part III
I have so far discussed two different philosophies of weighting by party. The purist model — still the choice of most media pollsters — weights samRead More…
Extended Posts: Follow-up
Thanks to those of you who sent feedback on extended posts. The preference was pretty overwhelming to avoid extended posts altogether (49%) or to breRead More…
Thank you
Just a quick thank you to all who sent kind messages of support regarding my daughter’s bout with pneumonia. She’s doing just fine. She came home frRead More…
The Race Tightens
As long as I’m back on the topic of debates, it is worth remembering that media coverage of the debate typically has more impact than the immediate reRead More…
The Second Debate
A busy weekend has made me late to the party on the subject of debate reaction. For those who have not seen them, three survey organizations — GalluRead More…
The Bush Landslide of 2000?
A number of readers have asked about a question that regularly appears in surveys by conducted jointly by CBS and the New York Times: “Did you vote inRead More…
More on the Incumbent Rule
Several readers took strong exception to my discussion of the incumbent rule, the idea that undecided voters tend to “break” toward the incumbentchallRead More…