Exit Polls: Answering Your Questions
Let me answer some questions that came up in the comments: Frankly0 asks:I don’t get the notion that the exit polls have a 3% MOE nationally. I can sRead More…
Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal
Let me answer some questions that came up in the comments: Frankly0 asks:I don’t get the notion that the exit polls have a 3% MOE nationally. I can sRead More…
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Looking for Information on Exit Polls for Election Day 2006?
See the newly updated, 2006 edition of this post now on PolRead More…
I started to do something this evening I haven’t had a chance to do in several days, which is to simply browse other blogs and ponder where things staRead More…
There is one poll I have been dying to write about since I started this blog. It has a surprisingly strong track record and, as luck would have it, hRead More…
And finally: The final post in my "epic" series on likely voter models. The link to the jump page will take you to descriptions Read More…
As I mentioned in the last post, I created a short online survey about this site that you can fill out by clicking this link. If you have read this bRead More…
You may have wondered why I disappeared for the last 24 hours or so. Well, another bit of personal business intruded. So, without further ado… The Read More…
Looking for validation of the incumbent rule, more than a few readers (including Mickey Kaus and Noam Scheiber) have asked when we can expect to see Read More…
Virtually all of the national surveys use some form of cut-off procedure to define likely voters. Respondents are either classified as likely or unliRead More…
The hardest part about blogging the last few weeks is that I get less time to simply read and surf than I used to. So you may already know about the Read More…