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Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Category: Legacy blog posts

Blaming the Bloggers – epilogue

November 9, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal11 Comments on Blaming the Bloggers – epilogue

Yesterday’s "Real Time" column by the Wall Street Journal’s Hanrahan and Fry made essentially the same point I did about the exit poll/bloggRead More…

Vote Fraud?

November 9, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal21 Comments on Vote Fraud?

I am hoping to spend the next week or so looking at what the elections have told us about the various issues we discussed here in the weeks before theRead More…

Blaming the Bloggers

November 7, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal10 Comments on Blaming the Bloggers

One thing that has bothered me about the coverage of the early exit poll snafu on Tuesday is the notion that bloggers were the problem. "BloggersRead More…

MoralValues

November 7, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on MoralValues

Saturday’s New York Times had three articles on the other big exit poll issue this week: The question that showed 22% of voters choosing "moral vRead More…

Exit Polls: Mitofsky on News Hour

November 6, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal33 Comments on Exit Polls: Mitofsky on News Hour

Warren Mitofsky, one of the principal directors of the National Election Pool (NEP) exit poll, appeared last night on the Lehrer News Hour.  The Read More…

Exit Polls: The NEP Report

November 5, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal13 Comments on Exit Polls: The NEP Report

A story by Jim Rutenberg in today’s New York Times finally reports the explanation of the exit poll mishap from the people who ran it, Warren MitofskyRead More…

Exit Polls: What We Know

November 4, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal30 Comments on Exit Polls: What We Know

The apparent problems with Tuesday’s exit polls were obviously topic number one with MP’s readers yesterday. Before jumping into what went "wrongRead More…

Reader Survey Reminder

November 3, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on Reader Survey Reminder

It is hard for me to believe that I posted my first message on this blog barely six week ago. Yesterday, this site had over 120,000 visitors and had bRead More…

First Impressions

November 3, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal32 Comments on First Impressions

As with any election, the results leave us much to sift through. Although the final counts are not yet available for all states, we can still reach sRead More…

Exit Polls: More Questions

November 2, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on Exit Polls: More Questions

Dave M asks:You say that they poll randomly through the day and when the final precinct vote (not survey) counts are available, they get incorporated.Read More…

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