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Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Category: Legacy blog posts

That Rumored Hispanic Revision?

December 3, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal10 Comments on That Rumored Hispanic Revision?

It’s now apparently official.  Brosnan of the Scripps Howard News Service reports and includes a hint as to how the "revision" was accoRead More…

NBC’s Shuster on Exit Polls

December 3, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal9 Comments on NBC’s Shuster on Exit Polls

We learn more in drips and drabs.  This from NBC’s David Shuster via Chris Matthew’s "Hardblogger" (hat tip: RottenDemark):  The fRead More…

The Raw Exit Poll Data

December 1, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

I know there has been much interest in when the National Election Poll would release the raw data from the exit polls. I want to voice one note of cauRead More…

NEP Revises Texas Hispanic Estimates

December 1, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on NEP Revises Texas Hispanic Estimates

I am a bit behind on this item, but the Associated Press issued a "correction" on Monday based on a revision of the exit poll estimate of PrRead More…

Freeman’s Data

November 29, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal12 Comments on Freeman’s Data

Steven Freeman, the author of the widely circulated paper entitled, “The Unexplained Exit Poll Discrepancy,” has posted exit poll tabulations for 49 Read More…

The Difference Between “Partial” and “Final” Exit Polls

November 29, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal11 Comments on The Difference Between “Partial” and “Final” Exit Polls

A few days ago John Kesich, a commenter on this site, complained about the way the term "exit polls" has been used to describe both projectiRead More…

FAQ: Questions about Exit Polls

November 29, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

***************
Looking for Information on Exit Polls for Election Day 2006?
See the Exit Polls: What You Should Know 2006 or the newly revised Exit Read More…

Stones Cry Out on Exit Polls

November 24, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal12 Comments on Stones Cry Out on Exit Polls

A blogger and San Diego State graduate student named Rick Brady posts his own exploration of the exit poll discrepancy.  Brady plows a lot of groRead More…

More on the Berkeley Report

November 23, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal17 Comments on More on the Berkeley Report

Having raised the issue of the Cal Berkeley Report on alleged voting irregularities in Florida, I have been struggling with how much to comment on theRead More…

WP’s Morin on Exit Polls

November 22, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal22 Comments on WP’s Morin on Exit Polls

Yesterday’s Washington Post had a long story on the exit polls by Richard Morin, its director of polling. If you have followed the exit polling controRead More…

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