Have the Exit Polls Been Wrong Before?
I have a short backlog of posts on the exit polls I’ve been working on this week, intended mostly to summarize information I’ve covered previously anRead More…
Category: Legacy blog posts
Oh Those Pesky Filtered Questions
Josh Marshall flags an error in Wednesday’s Washington Post poll story on Social Security (conducted jointly with ABC). The story correctly reRead More…
NAES Reports on Hispanic Voters
The National Annenberg Election Survey (NAES) has just weighed in with its massive 81,422 interview rolling survey on the issue of Hispanic voter prefRead More…
What About Those German Exit Polls?
A commenter asked last week, "why are exit polls so much more accurate in Europe?" This is a question worth considering, because all surveysRead More…
Measurement Error…in the Count
A quick break from exit polls… Alert JW, a resident of Washington State, asks this interesting question highly relevant to the ongoing recount in tRead More…
Exits: Were They Really “Wrong?”
Last week’s posting of more detailed information on the sampling error of exit polls by the National Election Pool (NEP) allows for a quick review ofRead More…
News Roundup
So many good topics, so little time. Several items appeared in the past 48 hours that are worth passing along.
Slate’s David Kenner and William SaletaRead More…
What is the Sampling Error for Exit Polls?
The newly posted methodology information on the National Election Pool (NEP) website (for states and the national survey) provides much more guidanceRead More…
NEP Methodology Info Now Online
As of yesterday afternoon, the National Election Pool website (exit-poll.net) has posted methodology statements for both the national and statewide exRead More…
Correcting the “Correction”
Having spent the weekend with my family, I have much to cover today and not enough time to cover it. Let’s start with the mini-controversy over the esRead More…