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Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Category: Legacy blog posts

More Fun with Exit Polls

January 7, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal40 Comments on More Fun with Exit Polls

Salon.com’s Farhad Manjoo has an excellent article, "More Fun With Exit Polls,"  out today on the continuing controversy that MP has beRead More…

The “Smoking Gun” Part II

January 5, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal50 Comments on The “Smoking Gun” Part II

Today’s must read for polling junkies is undoubtedly the exchange between Warren Mitofsky and Mickey Kaus (on the "smoking gun" item I bloggRead More…

Those Leaked PDFs

January 4, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal54 Comments on Those Leaked PDFs

About those newly leaked exit poll numbers. Early this morning, Mickey Kaus linked to my earlier post the recently leaked exit poll documents and declRead More…

More on (Sigh…) Exit Polls

January 3, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal15 Comments on More on (Sigh…) Exit Polls

Looks like my New Year’s resolution to change the subject won’t last through my first day back. As those who read the comments on this blog probablyRead More…

We Agree

January 3, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

Speaking of Ruy (and putting on my partisan Democratic hat for a moment):  On this topic, we completely agree.  Read More…

“Final” Results

January 3, 2005November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on “Final” Results

Some news from GMU Prof. Michael McDonald by way of Ruy Teixeira – the final tabulation of the national popular vote based on the “official” count: Read More…

Happy New Year

December 27, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal23 Comments on Happy New Year

Just a reminder, in case you missed my holiday post, that I am taking a break this week.  Blogging will resume in the New Year. In the meantime,Read More…

So if Exit Polls Have So Much Error, Why Do Them?

December 27, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal4 Comments on So if Exit Polls Have So Much Error, Why Do Them?

After my post last week, which argued that the deceiving Kerry “leads” in four battleground states fell well short of statistical significance requirRead More…

So WHY Were the Exit Polls “Wrong?”

December 27, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal24 Comments on So WHY Were the Exit Polls “Wrong?”

This post is another summary that mostly ties together various items I’ve covered separately, but also adds some new material. We know that the exit Read More…

Season’s Greetings!

December 25, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

First, I just wanted to let everyone know that I will be taking a much-needed break from blogging for the next week. I’ll be back on January 3. Read More…

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