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MysteryPollster

Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Category: Legacy blog posts

The “Reluctant Bush Responder” Theory Refuted?

January 21, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal58 Comments on The “Reluctant Bush Responder” Theory Refuted?

First, my apologies for not posting yesterday. The Inauguration was also a federal holiday, which meant no child care in my household and a day of beRead More…

Impressions on the Exit Poll Report

January 20, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal28 Comments on Impressions on the Exit Poll Report

I wanted to read the full 77 pages of the Edison/Mitofsky report in full before weighing in.  It took much of the day, but here are some first imRead More…

“Media Whore” Alert*

January 19, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on “Media Whore” Alert*

I am likely to be on ABC’s Nightline tonight.  This evening’s broadcast, barring other "breaking news," will examine the various questiRead More…

Breaking News: NEP Releases Full Report

January 19, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal21 Comments on Breaking News: NEP Releases Full Report

A bit of breaking news:  The full 77-page "evaluation" of the exit polls prepared by the firms that conducted the exit polls was releasRead More…

NEP to Release Edison/Mitofsky Report?

January 18, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on NEP to Release Edison/Mitofsky Report?

This morning, USA Today’s Mark Memmott reports that this week, Edison/Mitofsky, the firm that conducted the National Election Pool (NEP) exit polls, &Read More…

Junk Polls: People’s Choice Awards

January 14, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on Junk Polls: People’s Choice Awards

And now for something completely different….
Just for a change of pace, let’s shift from a topic as serious as election reform to something as triviRead More…

On Electoral Reform

January 13, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal10 Comments on On Electoral Reform

This site aims to be about political polling and opinion surveys, not about voting irregularities or election reform. Nonetheless, since the controverRead More…

More on n-Sizes and National Exit Poll Regions

January 13, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal15 Comments on More on n-Sizes and National Exit Poll Regions

Tonight I want to take up some additional questions readers have asked about the new exit poll data, specifically those about the regional compositioRead More…

Fun With Unweighted Interview Counts

January 10, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal34 Comments on Fun With Unweighted Interview Counts

[UPDATE:  The original version of this post included a small error that may have added to the confusion on this issue.   See my correctRead More…

Koufax Award

January 8, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on Koufax Award

An alert and loyal reader (thanks DC) tipped me off to a very gratifying honor for this not quite four-month-old blog:  Mystery Pollster has beenRead More…

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