On Outliers and Party ID
Last week, the Gallup organization released a survey sponsored by CNN and USAToday, fielded February 4-6, that appeared to show a surge in President Read More…
Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal
Last week, the Gallup organization released a survey sponsored by CNN and USAToday, fielded February 4-6, that appeared to show a surge in President Read More…
Yesterday, I talked to two junior high school students doing a school project on political polling. One of their questions was, "Do Read More…
Yesterday, the National Journal’s Hotline (subscription required) took up topic of great interest to MP: "Whether the polling community wilRead More…
Just a quick update: I am over the flu-bug, but it’s left me behind the 8-ball a bit. My apologies for the infrequent posts of late. Read More…
I had hoped to post a primer on recent surveys on the issue of Social Security earlier in the week, but my bout with a flu-bug got in the way. Read More…
Just wanted to explain the lack of posts. Apparently, my two year old has been hanging out with Hilary Clinton or her staff, because she broughtRead More…
Unfortunately, my blogging time is short today but want to quickly pass on one bit of news (thanks to Rick Brady of Stones Cry Out for the tip): Read More…
Following up on a lesson learned from the last post, that a story can sometimes make a point more powerfully than a lot of arcane data, I decided to sRead More…
Of the newly disclosed data in the Edison/Mitofsky report on this year’s exit polls, some of the most important concern results from past elections. Read More…
This past Sunday Daniel Okrent, the new "Public Editor" of the New York Times, pondered the shortcomings of reporting on numbers, both in hiRead More…