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Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Category: Legacy blog posts

On Outliers and Party ID

February 18, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on On Outliers and Party ID

Last week, the Gallup organization released a survey sponsored by CNN and USAToday, fielded February 4-6, that appeared to show a surge in President Read More…

When Respondents Lie

February 11, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal18 Comments on When Respondents Lie

Yesterday, I talked to two junior high school students doing a school project on political polling.    One of their questions was, "Do Read More…

The Hotline’s SurveyUSA Interview

February 9, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal6 Comments on The Hotline’s SurveyUSA Interview

Yesterday, the National Journal’s Hotline (subscription required) took up topic of great interest to MP:  "Whether the polling community wilRead More…

Update

February 8, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

Just a quick update:  I am over the flu-bug, but it’s left me behind the 8-ball a bit.  My apologies for the infrequent posts of late. Read More…

Recent Polling on Social Security

February 4, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal9 Comments on Recent Polling on Social Security

I had hoped to post a primer on recent surveys on the issue of Social Security earlier in the week, but my bout with a flu-bug got in the way.  Read More…

Flu

February 2, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on Flu

Just wanted to explain the lack of posts.  Apparently, my two year old has been hanging out with Hilary Clinton or her staff, because she broughtRead More…

NEP Data Available Online

January 31, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on NEP Data Available Online

Unfortunately, my blogging time is short today but want to quickly pass on one bit of news (thanks to Rick Brady of Stones Cry Out for the tip): Read More…

Professor M

January 28, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal27 Comments on Professor M

Following up on a lesson learned from the last post, that a story can sometimes make a point more powerfully than a lot of arcane data, I decided to sRead More…

The War Room

January 27, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal16 Comments on The War Room

Of the newly disclosed data in the Edison/Mitofsky report on this year’s exit polls, some of the most important concern results from past elections. Read More…

Numbers Guys

January 25, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal4 Comments on Numbers Guys

This past Sunday Daniel Okrent, the new "Public Editor" of the New York Times, pondered the shortcomings of reporting on numbers, both in hiRead More…

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