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Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Category: Legacy blog posts

How Low Can It Go?

October 19, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal9 Comments on How Low Can It Go?

Following up on yesterday’s post, reader ZH asked some reasonable questions about presidential approval ratings: How low does a president’s approvRead More…

Diageo/Hotline Poll: Same Poll, New Name

October 19, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Diageo/Hotline Poll: Same Poll, New Name

The latest poll is out from National Journal’s Hotline, although now with a new sponsor and two new names:  The Diageo/Hotline poll conducted by Read More…

Getting Past the Noise: Bush Slide Continues

October 18, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on Getting Past the Noise: Bush Slide Continues

The release of new results from six major public pollsters over the last two weeks provides a great opportunity to learn something about both the limRead More…

UPDATE: 2% Among African-Americans?

October 15, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on UPDATE: 23 Among African-Americans?

A quick update on yesterday’s post:  First, some of those who left comments yesterday seem to miss the main point.  MP has no doubt that AfRead More…

2% Among African-Americans?

October 14, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal20 Comments on 220 Among African-Americans?

Has George Bush’s job approval among African Americans really fallen to just 2%?  While MP was off atoning for his sins, several national pollstRead More…

SurveyUSA on Miers

October 7, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on SurveyUSA on Miers

MP somehow overlooked that Survey USA is now running two separate automated tracking polls on the Miers nomination (see previous commentary on their Read More…

CBS on Miers

October 7, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal10 Comments on CBS on Miers

Last night, CBS News released a new and very comprehensive survey conducted Monday through Wednesday evenings this week (The CBS web site has completRead More…

First Miers Reaction from Gallup

October 5, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on First Miers Reaction from Gallup

This morning brings a new Gallup/CNN/USAToday poll conducted Monday and Tuesday evenings (10/3-4) with reaction to the Harriet Miers nomination.&nbspRead More…

Happy New Year

October 3, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

MP apologizes for the slack posting over the last week or so, especially since the arrival of the year 5766* promises to put us out of commission, bloRead More…

Bush Job Approval Up?

September 30, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on Bush Job Approval Up?

Let’s continue to obsess over the recent variation on the job approval rating of President George W. Bush and maybe learn something about sampling erRead More…

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