Ohio
The main page on RealClearPolitics tonight shows a set of results for Ohio that has political junkies scratching their heads nationwide: OH: ABC: Read More…
Category: Interpreting Polls
Poll of Polls
Alert reader JM tipped me off to the fact that Bill Schneider has reprised his “poll of polls” summary on CNN’s Inside Politics. According to the traRead More…
The Race Tightens
As long as I’m back on the topic of debates, it is worth remembering that media coverage of the debate typically has more impact than the immediate reRead More…
More on the Incumbent Rule
Several readers took strong exception to my discussion of the incumbent rule, the idea that undecided voters tend to “break” toward the incumbentchallRead More…
The Incumbent Rule
In discussing recent poll results, I said last week that I tend to focus most on President Bush’s job rating and percentage of the vote (which tend toRead More…
The Newsweek Poll
Newsweek Magazine released a survey last night, “the first national telephone poll using a fresh sample” of all registered voters nationally since TRead More…
Good Analysis of Post/ABC Poll
Unfortunately, the crush of time has prevented me from doing much analysis of the recent surveys beyond the horse race numbers, and yet I’ve also arRead More…
Little Change in September
Virtually every national survey organization following the presidential race released new surveys in the last four days. Is there any sign of a changRead More…
The Election Isn’t Held Today
So far, we have been talking about the limitations of polling, a topic that we will discuss in great detail going further. However, with a slew of neRead More…
So What Should a Junkie Do?
So what are we to make of polling, given that it allows for a wide variance of results at this point in the election? For average voters trying to maRead More…