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MysteryPollster

Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Category: Interpreting Polls

More in Immigration

April 5, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on More in Immigration

Gallup’s Frank Newport posted a multi-poll analysis this morning on American’s attitudes toward immigration policy.   It is similar to some Read More…

Immigration: Ask Many Questions, Not One

April 3, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on Immigration: Ask Many Questions, Not One

Over the weekend, Mickey Kaus criticized an immigration question asked on a recent Time Magazine poll as having "comically biased wording." Read More…

Newport’s Answer to Kurtz

March 30, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

A belated link:  Two weeks ago, the Washington Post’s Howard Kurtz asked (and Mickey Kaus amplified) a question in his blog about "only compRead More…

The AMA Spring Break Survey – Part II

March 29, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal12 Comments on The AMA Spring Break Survey – Part II

Picking up where we left off yesterday, the AMA’s Spring Break survey has problems other than the disclosure of its methodology.  We must also cRead More…

Another “New Low?”

March 15, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal10 Comments on Another “New Low?”

In his Washington Post “Media Notes” blog, Howard Kurtz raises an important question about the coverage of the polls showing “new lows” for George BuRead More…

Gallup & The Samplemiser

February 15, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Gallup & The Samplemiser

The latest poll release from Gallup includes what appears to be a new approach for reporting their data on the job approval rating of President GeorgeRead More…

Compared to What?

November 15, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Compared to What?

And then there were nine.  With the latest survey out last night from Gallup/CNN/USAToday, we now have nine national surveys released this monthRead More…

When is a Poll Really a Poll?

July 8, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on When is a Poll Really a Poll?

Reader PW emailed yesterday with a question about a poll that appeared on Tuesday in the blogosphere.  "Is there anything you can quickly glRead More…

Battleground States

October 22, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal35 Comments on Battleground States

Perhaps because I spend more time writing a blog these days and less time reading them, but I have seen very little attention given to this fact: In Read More…

Incumbent Rule: A Caution and a Plea

October 21, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal16 Comments on Incumbent Rule: A Caution and a Plea

As many of you may have discovered the “incumbent rule” (and this site) through yesterday’s post on Ohio, I want to add one important point: But be cRead More…

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