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Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Category: Initiative and Referenda

Dispatch Poll: Questionnaire Language

November 28, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Dispatch Poll: Questionnaire Language

A quick update on the Columbus Dispatch poll: The folks at the Dispatch have kindly provided the full text of the questions asked on their final pre-eRead More…

Pre-Thanksgiving Odds & Ends

November 23, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on Pre-Thanksgiving Odds & Ends

Just enough time today to pass on a few odds and ends before taking a few days off for the holiday:   
A New Poll – We have another nationalRead More…

Ohio Update: The AG’s Opinion on Paper Ballots

November 22, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on Ohio Update: The AG’s Opinion on Paper Ballots

At end of my long post on the recent problems with the Columbus Dispatch poll, I passed along a tip from an Ohio election lawyer that a recent "oRead More…

Ballot Issues: How Do We Know?

November 21, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on Ballot Issues: How Do We Know?

I was reading through an embarrassingly long backlog of email today and came across one message I meant to respond to weeks ago.  In my first posRead More…

Columbus Dispatch Poll: Past Performance No Guarantee of Future Results

November 18, 2005November 14, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on Columbus Dispatch Poll: Past Performance No Guarantee of Future Results

“Past performance is no guarantee of future results.”  We typically hear that disclaimer applied to financial investments, but in an era of declRead More…

News Roundup: The Hits Keep on Coming

November 14, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on News Roundup: The Hits Keep on Coming

Last week, this site quietly passed the milestone of one million page views, as tracked by Sitemeter.  Now as MP will be the first to note, the Read More…

Election Results and Lessons

November 10, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal8 Comments on Election Results and Lessons

One lesson for MP is to allow for more blogging time on the day after an election.  But on the theory that a little late is better than never, hRead More…

Polling the Props: The Columbus Dispatch Poll

November 8, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

While we wait for election returns – yes, actual returns this time, not leaked exit polls – in the key off-year contests, MP finds himself coming backRead More…

Polling the Props: Election Eve Update

November 7, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

Three of the organizations doing surveys in California released new polls today.  Here are links to their releases: Survey USA –  2,056 Read More…

Polling the Props: Part III

November 6, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on Polling the Props: Part III

Picking up where we left off yesterday, if we want to understand the contradicting results in some of the public polls on California’s special electiRead More…

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