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Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Category: Exit Polls

Fraud in Florida?

November 18, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal8 Comments on Fraud in Florida?

A quick note before anyone emails to ask whether I think these guys are "delusional" too. The release posted on RottenDenmark indicates thatRead More…

Exit polls: breaking news

November 18, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal8 Comments on Exit polls: breaking news

Two late breaking updates that I did not want to get lost in the very long previous post on the Unexplained Poll Discrepancy paper, although both are Read More…

The Freeman Paper

November 17, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal55 Comments on The Freeman Paper

And speaking of MIT educated PhDs… The latest “must read” among those who want to pursue theories that the vote count was wrong and the exit polRead More…

Exit Polls: CalTech/MIT Report

November 15, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal25 Comments on Exit Polls: CalTech/MIT Report

Two new reports on exit polls came to my attention over the weekend. Both reports were written by high-powered PhDs from high-powered institutions, anRead More…

Pew on “Moral Values”

November 12, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal8 Comments on Pew on “Moral Values”

The Pew Research Center released a new study yesterday, a follow-up interview with 1203 voters who were originally surveyed in October that sheds inteRead More…

Blaming the Bloggers – epilogue

November 9, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal11 Comments on Blaming the Bloggers – epilogue

Yesterday’s "Real Time" column by the Wall Street Journal’s Hanrahan and Fry made essentially the same point I did about the exit poll/bloggRead More…

Vote Fraud?

November 9, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal21 Comments on Vote Fraud?

I am hoping to spend the next week or so looking at what the elections have told us about the various issues we discussed here in the weeks before theRead More…

Blaming the Bloggers

November 7, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal10 Comments on Blaming the Bloggers

One thing that has bothered me about the coverage of the early exit poll snafu on Tuesday is the notion that bloggers were the problem. "BloggersRead More…

MoralValues

November 7, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on MoralValues

Saturday’s New York Times had three articles on the other big exit poll issue this week: The question that showed 22% of voters choosing "moral vRead More…

Exit Polls: Mitofsky on News Hour

November 6, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal33 Comments on Exit Polls: Mitofsky on News Hour

Warren Mitofsky, one of the principal directors of the National Election Pool (NEP) exit poll, appeared last night on the Lehrer News Hour.  The Read More…

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