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Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Category: Exit Polls

NEP Revises Texas Hispanic Estimates

December 1, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on NEP Revises Texas Hispanic Estimates

I am a bit behind on this item, but the Associated Press issued a "correction" on Monday based on a revision of the exit poll estimate of PrRead More…

Freeman’s Data

November 29, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal12 Comments on Freeman’s Data

Steven Freeman, the author of the widely circulated paper entitled, “The Unexplained Exit Poll Discrepancy,” has posted exit poll tabulations for 49 Read More…

The Difference Between “Partial” and “Final” Exit Polls

November 29, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal11 Comments on The Difference Between “Partial” and “Final” Exit Polls

A few days ago John Kesich, a commenter on this site, complained about the way the term "exit polls" has been used to describe both projectiRead More…

FAQ: Questions about Exit Polls

November 29, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

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Looking for Information on Exit Polls for Election Day 2006?
See the Exit Polls: What You Should Know 2006 or the newly revised Exit Read More…

Stones Cry Out on Exit Polls

November 24, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal12 Comments on Stones Cry Out on Exit Polls

A blogger and San Diego State graduate student named Rick Brady posts his own exploration of the exit poll discrepancy.  Brady plows a lot of groRead More…

More on the Berkeley Report

November 23, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal17 Comments on More on the Berkeley Report

Having raised the issue of the Cal Berkeley Report on alleged voting irregularities in Florida, I have been struggling with how much to comment on theRead More…

WP’s Morin on Exit Polls

November 22, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal22 Comments on WP’s Morin on Exit Polls

Yesterday’s Washington Post had a long story on the exit polls by Richard Morin, its director of polling. If you have followed the exit polling controRead More…

The Freeman Paper Revisted

November 19, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal21 Comments on The Freeman Paper Revisted

I want to revisit my post from Wednesday night on the paper by Dr. Steven Freeman on the "Unexplained Exit Poll Discrepancy." First, Dr. FreRead More…

Exit Polls: Winston’s Theory

November 19, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal8 Comments on Exit Polls: Winston’s Theory

The New Republic’s Noam Scheiber passed on a theory floated by Republican pollster David Winston about the discrepancy in exit polling data that favorRead More…

The UCal Berkeley Report

November 18, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal31 Comments on The UCal Berkeley Report

First, one point I should have made more clearly in previous posts: The absence of significant evidence of fraud in exit polls does not prove the abseRead More…

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