Have the Exit Polls Been Wrong Before?
I have a short backlog of posts on the exit polls I’ve been working on this week, intended mostly to summarize information I’ve covered previously anRead More…
Category: Exit Polls
What About Those German Exit Polls?
A commenter asked last week, "why are exit polls so much more accurate in Europe?" This is a question worth considering, because all surveysRead More…
Exits: Were They Really “Wrong?”
Last week’s posting of more detailed information on the sampling error of exit polls by the National Election Pool (NEP) allows for a quick review ofRead More…
News Roundup
So many good topics, so little time. Several items appeared in the past 48 hours that are worth passing along.
Slate’s David Kenner and William SaletaRead More…
What is the Sampling Error for Exit Polls?
The newly posted methodology information on the National Election Pool (NEP) website (for states and the national survey) provides much more guidanceRead More…
NEP Methodology Info Now Online
As of yesterday afternoon, the National Election Pool website (exit-poll.net) has posted methodology statements for both the national and statewide exRead More…
Correcting the “Correction”
Having spent the weekend with my family, I have much to cover today and not enough time to cover it. Let’s start with the mini-controversy over the esRead More…
That Rumored Hispanic Revision?
It’s now apparently official. Brosnan of the Scripps Howard News Service reports and includes a hint as to how the "revision" was accoRead More…
NBC’s Shuster on Exit Polls
We learn more in drips and drabs. This from NBC’s David Shuster via Chris Matthew’s "Hardblogger" (hat tip: RottenDemark): The fRead More…
The Raw Exit Poll Data
I know there has been much interest in when the National Election Poll would release the raw data from the exit polls. I want to voice one note of cauRead More…