What the USCV Report Doesn’t Say (Part I)
Mea Culpa (4/14): This post originally argued under heading “3)” below that sampling error alone will create an artifact in the data tabulaRead More…
Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal
Mea Culpa (4/14): This post originally argued under heading “3)” below that sampling error alone will create an artifact in the data tabulaRead More…
And speaking of exit polls…I borrowed the title for this post from "DemFromCT," a frequent contributor (diarist) on DailyKos. Read More…
The release of several new papers on the 2004 exit poll controversy brings me back to this familiar topic. The first paper, from a team of acadeRead More…
Unfortunately, my blogging time is short today but want to quickly pass on one bit of news (thanks to Rick Brady of Stones Cry Out for the tip): Read More…
Following up on a lesson learned from the last post, that a story can sometimes make a point more powerfully than a lot of arcane data, I decided to sRead More…
Of the newly disclosed data in the Edison/Mitofsky report on this year’s exit polls, some of the most important concern results from past elections. Read More…
First, my apologies for not posting yesterday. The Inauguration was also a federal holiday, which meant no child care in my household and a day of beRead More…
I wanted to read the full 77 pages of the Edison/Mitofsky report in full before weighing in. It took much of the day, but here are some first imRead More…
I am likely to be on ABC’s Nightline tonight. This evening’s broadcast, barring other "breaking news," will examine the various questiRead More…
A bit of breaking news: The full 77-page "evaluation" of the exit polls prepared by the firms that conducted the exit polls was releasRead More…