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MysteryPollster

Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Category: Exit Polls

Palestinian Exit Polls

January 27, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Palestinian Exit Polls

Wednesday’s Palestinian elections once again highlight the shortcomings of exit polls as a tool for projecting election results.  One of the manyRead More…

Election Results and Lessons

November 10, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal8 Comments on Election Results and Lessons

One lesson for MP is to allow for more blogging time on the day after an election.  But on the theory that a little late is better than never, hRead More…

No Exit

November 8, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

National Journal’s free Hotline on Call reports that we will have no leaked exit polls to speculate about today in New Jersey, Virginia and CaliforniaRead More…

A Growing Politicization

June 27, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on A Growing Politicization

In the context of the exit poll debate last year, MP pointed to a Pew Research Center study showing that Republicans perceived greater bias in news mRead More…

USCV vs. USCV

June 2, 2005November 14, 2019 Mark Blumenthal98 Comments on USCV vs. USCV

Back to exit polls for a moment.  Bruce O’Dell, the founding Vice President of U.S. Count Votes (USCV), the organization that has been arguing that tRead More…

AAPOR Remainders

May 17, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

Some additional items of interest from the AAPOR conference
Peter Coy of Businessweek was also on hand and filed some commentary.  One point he eRead More…

AAPOR: Exit Poll Presentation

May 16, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal85 Comments on AAPOR: Exit Poll Presentation

Unfortunately, the sleep deprivation experiment that was my AAPOR conference experience finally caught up with me Saturday night.  So this may bRead More…

On “Smackdowns” and Fraud

May 11, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal22 Comments on On “Smackdowns” and Fraud

The big news at the newly minted Huffington Post is that two of its "celebrity" bloggers have taken up the exit-polls-as-evidence-of-vote-frRead More…

The Liddle Model That Could

April 29, 2005November 14, 2019 Mark Blumenthal36 Comments on The Liddle Model That Could

Regular readers of this blog may know her as “Febble,” the diarist from DailyKos.  Her real name is Elizabeth Liddle, a 50-something mother and Read More…

What the USCV Report Doesn’t Say (Part II)

April 18, 2005November 14, 2019 Mark Blumenthal12 Comments on What the USCV Report Doesn’t Say (Part II)

Mea Culpa Update – In Part I of this series I erred in describing an artifact in the data tabulation provided in the report provided by Edison ResearRead More…

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