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Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Category: Divergent Polls

The NYT Reader’s Guide to Polls

August 29, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal4 Comments on The NYT Reader’s Guide to Polls

Jack Rosenthal, a former senior editor of the New York Times, filled in as the guest Public Editor” this past Sunday and devoted the column to a remaRead More…

MP on NSA Polls on CBS Public Eye

May 26, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on MP on NSA Polls on CBS Public Eye

Today I accepted an invitation to contribute to the "Outside Voices" feature on the CBS News blog "Public Eye."  My post — aRead More…

Post/ABC on NSA Records – Part II

May 17, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on Post/ABC on NSA Records – Part II

As expected, Washington Post and ABC News continued conducting interviews over the weekend and released complete results Tuesday afternoon.  TheRead More…

NSA Records Polling – Update

May 16, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on NSA Records Polling – Update

I want to continue to discuss the differences in the polls on the NSA records database issue, especially as new surveys are released.  We have nRead More…

Another Day, A Very Different Result

May 13, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal6 Comments on Another Day, A Very Different Result

Well, another day, another — very different — set of poll results on the NSA phone records surveillance issue.  On a new survey out today fromRead More…

‘Twas the Survey Before Christmas…

December 23, 2005November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal6 Comments on ‘Twas the Survey Before Christmas…

As things wind down a bit before the holidays, I want to put a little perspective on our recent speculation about the trends in attitudes about PresiRead More…

The RT Strategies Iraq Poll

December 2, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal18 Comments on The RT Strategies Iraq Poll

Yesterday’s front-page analysis of President Bush’s Iraq speech earlier this week by the Washington Post’s Peter Baker included a reference to some reRead More…

Columbus Dispatch Poll: Past Performance No Guarantee of Future Results

November 18, 2005November 14, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on Columbus Dispatch Poll: Past Performance No Guarantee of Future Results

“Past performance is no guarantee of future results.”  We typically hear that disclaimer applied to financial investments, but in an era of declRead More…

Ideology as a Diagnostic, Part III

June 21, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Ideology as a Diagnostic, Part III

In Part I of this series, MP suggested that small differences in self-reported ideology as reported by four different pollsters during 2004 could be Read More…

Ideology as a “Diagnostic?” – Part II

June 15, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal12 Comments on Ideology as a “Diagnostic?” – Part II

In Part One of this series, we looked at the differences in yearlong averages for self-reported ideology reported by four different pollsters:  Read More…

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