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Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Author: Mark Blumenthal

Mark Blumenthal is political pollster with deep and varied experience across survey research, campaigns, and media. The original "Mystery Pollster" and co-creator of Pollster.com, he explains complex concepts to a multitude of audiences and how data informs politics and decision-making. A researcher and consultant who crafts effective questions and identifies innovative solutions to deliver results. An award winning political journalist who brings insights and crafts compelling narratives from chaotic data.

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May 4, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

Unfortunately, a "housekeeping" item chewed up my blogging time today.  I discovered this morning that MysteryPollster has been receiviRead More…

Fooled Again?

May 2, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal28 Comments on Fooled Again?

MP received email from several readers over the last few days asking about a rumor that the television networks had decided to abandon exit polls for Read More…

Et tu, Gallup?

May 2, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on Et tu, Gallup?

Two new surveys suggest the slow but steady decline in the Bush job rating continues.  The 34% job approval rating on the USA Today/Gallup poll Read More…

Rasmussen Adopts Dynamic Party Weighting

May 1, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Rasmussen Adopts Dynamic Party Weighting

As promised here on MP, pollster Scott Rasmussen yesterday announced a new party weighting procedure for his automated tracking survey:Beginning todayRead More…

An “Immigration-Enforcement” Third Party?

April 28, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal6 Comments on An “Immigration-Enforcement” Third Party?

Yesterday, our friend Mickey Kaus highlighted a question from a recent Rasmussen automated survey worth examining a bit more closely.  The questiRead More…

An Online Poll on an Online Activity

April 26, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal6 Comments on An Online Poll on an Online Activity

One of the gratifying things about writing this blog is the collective power of Mystery Pollster readers.  Last week, I emailed some questions tRead More…

MP on WTWP

April 25, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

Short notice, I know, by yours truly will be a guest on Washington Post Radio this afternoon at about 2:30, along with Post pollsters Richard Morin anRead More…

CNN & ORC: The Real “Breaking News?”

April 24, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on CNN & ORC: The Real “Breaking News?”

Thanks to the loyal reader who alerted MP to this just released poll (story, full results) by CNN which puts the Bush job approval rating at yet anothRead More…

The Question That Answers Itself

April 21, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on The Question That Answers Itself

A few weeks ago, our friend Mickey Kaus described a question asked on a recent Time Magazine poll as having "comically biased wording."&nbspRead More…

Salience of Immigration Rising

April 20, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal4 Comments on Salience of Immigration Rising

Gallup brings us the polling story of the day with a report of a “significant” increase in the percentage of Americans who consider immigration and gRead More…

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