Skip to content
Saturday, March 14, 2026

MysteryPollster

Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

Menu
  • Home
  • Home
  • Mark Blumenthal
  • Page 5

Author: Mark Blumenthal

Mark Blumenthal is political pollster with deep and varied experience across survey research, campaigns, and media. The original "Mystery Pollster" and co-creator of Pollster.com, he explains complex concepts to a multitude of audiences and how data informs politics and decision-making. A researcher and consultant who crafts effective questions and identifies innovative solutions to deliver results. An award winning political journalist who brings insights and crafts compelling narratives from chaotic data.

Update: Military Social Conservatives

June 20, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal4 Comments on Update: Military Social Conservatives

Let’s hear it for MP’s readers.  Both in comments and via email, I have heard from political scientists pointing to much better sources of data oRead More…

No “Social Conservatives” in the Career Military?

June 19, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal4 Comments on No “Social Conservatives” in the Career Military?

A reader emailed to ask about a comment made in a column last week by the Wall Street Journal’s Peggy Noonan (as noted by Mickey Kaus):  I’ve nevRead More…

Updates

June 15, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Updates

My apologies for the slow rate of posting this week.  I had a number of non-blog deadlines all fall within about week’s time and they have taken Read More…

The Latest from CBS & USAToday/Gallup

June 13, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on The Latest from CBS & USAToday/Gallup

Both USAToday/Gallup and CBS News are out with new polls this week that provide slightly conflicting views of the impact of the death last week of AbRead More…

The First Iowa Caucus Poll

June 12, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal4 Comments on The First Iowa Caucus Poll

Yesterday, the Des Moines Register released the first public poll asking likely participants about how they might vote in the 2008 Iowa Democratic CauRead More…

The Netroots Survey at YearlyKos

June 10, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on The Netroots Survey at YearlyKos

A note for regular readers:  I am flying to the YearlyKos Conference in Las Vegas this morning to help present a unique survey later today of theRead More…

Is RFK, Jr. Right About Exit Polls? – Part III

June 9, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on Is RFK, Jr. Right About Exit Polls? – Part III

This post resumes my paragraph-by-paragraph review of the discussion of the exit polls in the article by Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. in Rolling Stone, &quoRead More…

Is RFK, Jr. Right About Exit Polls? – Part II

June 8, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal4 Comments on Is RFK, Jr. Right About Exit Polls? – Part II

This post resumes my look at the article by Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. in Rolling Stone, "Was the 2004 Election Stolen?"   In Part I, Read More…

Gallup: A “Modest Improvement?”

June 6, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Gallup: A “Modest Improvement?”

I am at work on the second part of the series looking at RFK, Jr. on exit polls, but will likely be bogged down by the “day job” for the afternoonRead More…

Is RFK, Jr. Right About Exit Polls? – Part I

June 5, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal60 Comments on Is RFK, Jr. Right About Exit Polls? – Part I

Late last week, Rolling Stone published an article by Robert Kennedy, Jr. that asks provocatively, "Was the 2004 Election Stolen?"  WhiRead More…

Posts navigation

Older posts
Newer posts

Recent Posts

  • Polling Has Changed. The Way We Read (And Sometimes Misread) It Has Not.
  • Impeachment Update: No Signs of Non-Response Error
  • Gelman: Nonresponse Not So Rare
  • MysteryPollster is Back!
  • Another ‘Phantom Swing’? Investigating Differential Nonresponse in 2018

Archives (Mostly Old!)

Legacy Categories (2004-2006)

Meta

  • Log in
  • Entries feed
  • Comments feed
  • WordPress.org
BlogMagazine | Theme: BlogMagazine by Dinesh Ghimire.