Weighting by Party
It is nearly impossible to blog on political polling this week without discussing the subject of weighting by Party ID. Ruy Teixeira of the EmerRead More…
Author: Mark Blumenthal
Mark Blumenthal is political pollster with deep and varied experience across survey research, campaigns, and media. The original "Mystery Pollster" and co-creator of Pollster.com, he explains complex concepts to a multitude of audiences and how data informs politics and decision-making. A researcher and consultant who crafts effective questions and identifies innovative solutions to deliver results. An award winning political journalist who brings insights and crafts compelling narratives from chaotic data.
So What Should a Junkie Do?
So what are we to make of polling, given that it allows for a wide variance of results at this point in the election? For average voters trying to maRead More…
More Divergent Than They Should Be?
Picking up where I left off on the last post, let’s start with the basic theory of random sampling. If we draw a series of perfect random samples, Read More…
Divergent Polls
Monday’s edition of National Journal’s Hotline listed seven headlines from the last few days that “say it all,” as they put it, about recent politRead More…