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MysteryPollster

Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Author: Mark Blumenthal

Mark Blumenthal is political pollster with deep and varied experience across survey research, campaigns, and media. The original "Mystery Pollster" and co-creator of Pollster.com, he explains complex concepts to a multitude of audiences and how data informs politics and decision-making. A researcher and consultant who crafts effective questions and identifies innovative solutions to deliver results. An award winning political journalist who brings insights and crafts compelling narratives from chaotic data.

The Fix: IVR Surveys & Response Rates

July 13, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on The Fix: IVR Surveys & Response Rates

Yesterday (just before the Typepad outage that prevented me from posting all day), Chris Cillizza’s The Fix blog at WashingtonPost.com took a helpful Read More…

Gallup: Bush Job Approval at 40%

July 11, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal4 Comments on Gallup: Bush Job Approval at 404

Gallup reported on their latest national survey today, which shows the Bush job approval rating bumping up to 40% (the Gallup release is free to all Read More…

Connecticut Primary Polls: No Easy Task

July 10, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on Connecticut Primary Polls: No Easy Task

For all the attention paid lately to the Connecticut’s upcoming Democratic primary election between Senator Joseph Lieberman and challenger Ned LamontRead More…

Pew Interview: Mitofsky on the Mexican Exit Polls

July 7, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on Pew Interview: Mitofsky on the Mexican Exit Polls

This week’s belated focus on the U.S. exit poll controversy was well timed, as exit polls once again made news, this time in the Mexican elections.&nbRead More…

Is RFK, Jr. Right About Exit Polls? – Part IV

July 6, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal4 Comments on Is RFK, Jr. Right About Exit Polls? – Part IV

This post concludes my paragraph-by-paragraph review of the discussion of the exit polls in the article by Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. in Rolling Stone, “Read More…

It’s What We Call Spin?

June 29, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on It’s What We Call Spin?

Thanks to alert reader LS who tipped me off to an old story that I had missed, but that is still worthy of notice on MP.   Nearly two monthsRead More…

Update: Withdrawal Timetable Polls

June 28, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Update: Withdrawal Timetable Polls

A quick update to yesterday’s post:  With the help of Prof. Charles Franklin, I bring you a chart showing the trend in five questions that have Read More…

Polling on a Timetable for Withdrawal

June 27, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on Polling on a Timetable for Withdrawal

The national polls released over the last few weeks have included a flurry of new or updated questions on proposals to set a "timetable" forRead More…

The Battle of the Bulge Poll

June 23, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal15 Comments on The Battle of the Bulge Poll

Last Sunday, Bush press secretary Tony Snow speculated about what polls might have shown during World War II:  "If somebody had taken a pollRead More…

Update II: Military Social Conservatives

June 21, 2006November 14, 2019 Mark Blumenthal31 Comments on Update II: Military Social Conservatives

It gets more interesting.  Here is the promised update to the posts of the last two days, based on some fascinating analysis sent by Jason DempsRead More…

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