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MysteryPollster

Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Author: Mark Blumenthal

Mark Blumenthal is political pollster with deep and varied experience across survey research, campaigns, and media. The original "Mystery Pollster" and co-creator of Pollster.com, he explains complex concepts to a multitude of audiences and how data informs politics and decision-making. A researcher and consultant who crafts effective questions and identifies innovative solutions to deliver results. An award winning political journalist who brings insights and crafts compelling narratives from chaotic data.

Extended Posts: Follow-up

October 11, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

Thanks to those of you who sent feedback on extended posts. The preference was pretty overwhelming to avoid extended posts altogether (49%) or to breRead More…

Thank you

October 11, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on Thank you

Just a quick thank you to all who sent kind messages of support regarding my daughter’s bout with pneumonia. She’s doing just fine. She came home frRead More…

The Race Tightens

October 10, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal20 Comments on The Race Tightens

As long as I’m back on the topic of debates, it is worth remembering that media coverage of the debate typically has more impact than the immediate reRead More…

The Second Debate

October 10, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal23 Comments on The Second Debate

A busy weekend has made me late to the party on the subject of debate reaction. For those who have not seen them, three survey organizations — GalluRead More…

The Bush Landslide of 2000?

October 9, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on The Bush Landslide of 2000?

A number of readers have asked about a question that regularly appears in surveys by conducted jointly by CBS and the New York Times: “Did you vote inRead More…

More on the Incumbent Rule

October 8, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal8 Comments on More on the Incumbent Rule

Several readers took strong exception to my discussion of the incumbent rule, the idea that undecided voters tend to “break” toward the incumbentchallRead More…

Housekeeping: Extended Posts?

October 7, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal27 Comments on Housekeeping: Extended Posts?

As most of you have probably noticed, I have started using the “extended post” feature in the blogging software to continue longer posts on a jump pagRead More…

Why & How Pollsters Weight, Part II

October 7, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal17 Comments on Why & How Pollsters Weight, Part II

In my last post on party identification, I promised to turn next to pollsters who weight by party. I’d like to finish up this thread with a discussioRead More…

Veep Debate

October 6, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal9 Comments on Veep Debate

A quick take on the post debate polling. Andrew Sullivan (who kindly introduced many of you to this blog – thank you Andrew) gets it basically righRead More…

A Personal Note

October 5, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal15 Comments on A Personal Note

I hesitate to discuss personal matters here, but I want to explain the lack of posts today: Unfortunately, my nearly two-year old daughter, who had bRead More…

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