Ballot Issues: How Do We Know?
I was reading through an embarrassingly long backlog of email today and came across one message I meant to respond to weeks ago. In my first posRead More…
Author: Mark Blumenthal
Mark Blumenthal is political pollster with deep and varied experience across survey research, campaigns, and media. The original "Mystery Pollster" and co-creator of Pollster.com, he explains complex concepts to a multitude of audiences and how data informs politics and decision-making. A researcher and consultant who crafts effective questions and identifies innovative solutions to deliver results. An award winning political journalist who brings insights and crafts compelling narratives from chaotic data.
Columbus Dispatch Poll: Past Performance No Guarantee of Future Results
“Past performance is no guarantee of future results.” We typically hear that disclaimer applied to financial investments, but in an era of declRead More…
Ohio Dispatch Poll: Stay Tuned
I have been focusing for the last several days on a post on the Columbus Dispatch poll controversy. I had hoped to have it up two days ago, but Read More…
Cillizza’s Polling Fix
MP readers may want to check out the new feature from Washington Post blogger/columnist Chris Cillizza (aka "The Fix") called "Parsing Read More…
Compared to What?
And then there were nine. With the latest survey out last night from Gallup/CNN/USAToday, we now have nine national surveys released this monthRead More…
News Roundup: The Hits Keep on Coming
Last week, this site quietly passed the milestone of one million page views, as tracked by Sitemeter. Now as MP will be the first to note, the Read More…
Election Results and Lessons
One lesson for MP is to allow for more blogging time on the day after an election. But on the theory that a little late is better than never, hRead More…
Polling the Props: The Columbus Dispatch Poll
While we wait for election returns – yes, actual returns this time, not leaked exit polls – in the key off-year contests, MP finds himself coming backRead More…
No Exit
National Journal’s free Hotline on Call reports that we will have no leaked exit polls to speculate about today in New Jersey, Virginia and CaliforniaRead More…
Polling the Props: Election Eve Update
Three of the organizations doing surveys in California released new polls today. Here are links to their releases: Survey USA – 2,056 Read More…