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MysteryPollster

Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Author: Mark Blumenthal

Mark Blumenthal is political pollster with deep and varied experience across survey research, campaigns, and media. The original "Mystery Pollster" and co-creator of Pollster.com, he explains complex concepts to a multitude of audiences and how data informs politics and decision-making. A researcher and consultant who crafts effective questions and identifies innovative solutions to deliver results. An award winning political journalist who brings insights and crafts compelling narratives from chaotic data.

Bush “Bump Up” Update: Gallup/CNN/USAToday

December 12, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal4 Comments on Bush “Bump Up” Update: Gallup/CNN/USAToday

The National Journal is reporting this morning, via the (subscription only)  Hotline Wake-Up Call, that the latest survey from Gallup shows:&nbspRead More…

Bush “Bump Up” Update: CBS/NYTimes Poll

December 8, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal6 Comments on Bush “Bump Up” Update: CBS/NYTimes Poll

The latest CBS News/New York Times survey out this morning (conducted December 2-6) shows a five percentage point gain in President Bush’s approval raRead More…

More on Rasmussen

December 7, 2005November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on More on Rasmussen

I want to follow-up briefly on one point raised by yesterday’s post on recent patterns in the Bush job rating.  Professor Franklin’s graphic shoRead More…

A Bush Revival?

December 6, 2005November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on A Bush Revival?

Are the Bush job approval numbers reviving?  That is what a lot of MP’s readers have been wondering, especially those who (like Mickey Kaus) folRead More…

Polling the “Strategy for Victory”

December 5, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal8 Comments on Polling the “Strategy for Victory”

A story on the front of Sunday’s New York Times shines new light on the work on support for the Iraq War by Chris Gelpi, Peter Feaver, and Jason ReiflRead More…

The RT Strategies Iraq Poll

December 2, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal18 Comments on The RT Strategies Iraq Poll

Yesterday’s front-page analysis of President Bush’s Iraq speech earlier this week by the Washington Post’s Peter Baker included a reference to some reRead More…

Polling Holiday Sales

November 30, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

The Wall Street Journal’s "Numbers Guy" Carl Bialik takes a look this week at the various measures used to estimate retail sales over the ThRead More…

Dispatch Poll: Questionnaire Language

November 28, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Dispatch Poll: Questionnaire Language

A quick update on the Columbus Dispatch poll: The folks at the Dispatch have kindly provided the full text of the questions asked on their final pre-eRead More…

Pre-Thanksgiving Odds & Ends

November 23, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on Pre-Thanksgiving Odds & Ends

Just enough time today to pass on a few odds and ends before taking a few days off for the holiday:   
A New Poll – We have another nationalRead More…

Ohio Update: The AG’s Opinion on Paper Ballots

November 22, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on Ohio Update: The AG’s Opinion on Paper Ballots

At end of my long post on the recent problems with the Columbus Dispatch poll, I passed along a tip from an Ohio election lawyer that a recent "oRead More…

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