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MysteryPollster

Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Author: Mark Blumenthal

Mark Blumenthal is political pollster with deep and varied experience across survey research, campaigns, and media. The original "Mystery Pollster" and co-creator of Pollster.com, he explains complex concepts to a multitude of audiences and how data informs politics and decision-making. A researcher and consultant who crafts effective questions and identifies innovative solutions to deliver results. An award winning political journalist who brings insights and crafts compelling narratives from chaotic data.

On “Oversamples” and the AP-IPSOS MLK Holiday Poll

January 16, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on On “Oversamples” and the AP-IPSOS MLK Holiday Poll

The Associated Press, in its usual partnership with IPSOS, released a survey yesterday (story, results & methodology) on attitudes on today’s holiRead More…

On Fox, Pew, Outliers and the Bush Trend

January 13, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal4 Comments on On Fox, Pew, Outliers and the Bush Trend

Today I want to report with an assortment of observations relevant to our recent discussions of the Bush job rating and “house effects,” including coRead More…

So When Is An Attitude Really An Attitude?

January 12, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on So When Is An Attitude Really An Attitude?

I want to add a few quick follow-up thoughts on yesterday’s topic:  The large differences across four national surveys in the number who offeredRead More…

And Pew Makes Four

January 11, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

Tonight we have another national survey to consider, this one released earlier today by the Pew Research Center (report, topline questionnaire , crosRead More…

Three New Polls

January 10, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Three New Polls

CBS News, ABC/Washington Post and Gallup/CNN/USAToday each released new surveys over the last 24 hours.  The three polls each take in-depth lookRead More…

Gallup on Internet Use

January 9, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Gallup on Internet Use

Just a quick note for those who interested in polling data on Internet use (which is just about all of us, yes?):  Today’s Gallup Poll Daily VideRead More…

Muskie in ’70

January 9, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on Muskie in ’70

Mickey Kaus kindly linked to my post last Friday on the relatively high ratings of Hillary Clinton by rank-and-file Democrats, but added: "I’d stRead More…

Hillary, The Blogs & The Base

January 6, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal16 Comments on Hillary, The Blogs & The Base

Over the last few weeks, bloggers have debated the appeal of a potential presidential candidacy by Hillary Clinton to the "base" of the DemoRead More…

Military Times Survey: Update

January 5, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal9 Comments on Military Times Survey: Update

A quick update on yesterday’s post on the Military Times poll of its readers on active duty military service.  I noted that the raw data was avaiRead More…

The Military Times Survey

January 4, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on The Military Times Survey

The Military Times publications released a unique new survey yesterday of active duty members of the US armed services who also subscribe to their newRead More…

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