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MysteryPollster

Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Year: 2019

Impeachment Update: No Signs of Non-Response Error

October 25, 2019October 25, 2019 Mark BlumenthalLeave a Comment on Impeachment Update: No Signs of Non-Response Error

Support for impeaching and removing President Donald Trump from office has increased to near majority support on a wide variety of polRead More…

Gelman: Nonresponse Not So Rare

October 1, 2019October 1, 2019 Mark BlumenthalLeave a Comment on Gelman: Nonresponse Not So Rare

In yesterday’s Fivethirtyeight article, I argued that evidence of nonresponse bias is “hard to come by,” with the exception of “the highest of hRead More…

MysteryPollster is Back!

September 30, 2019October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on MysteryPollster is Back!

MysteryPollster is back!   Fifteen years ago, almost to the day, I started posting articles to this site, something we used to call a “bRead More…

Another ‘Phantom Swing’? Investigating Differential Nonresponse in 2018

September 27, 2019October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Another ‘Phantom Swing’? Investigating Differential Nonresponse in 2018

In an era of single digit response rates, many Americans distrust polls and some say they are inherently skewed. The truth is more complicated. PollsRead More…

Recent Posts

  • Polling Has Changed. The Way We Read (And Sometimes Misread) It Has Not.
  • Impeachment Update: No Signs of Non-Response Error
  • Gelman: Nonresponse Not So Rare
  • MysteryPollster is Back!
  • Another ‘Phantom Swing’? Investigating Differential Nonresponse in 2018

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