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MysteryPollster

Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Year: 2006

Update: Withdrawal Timetable Polls

June 28, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Update: Withdrawal Timetable Polls

A quick update to yesterday’s post:  With the help of Prof. Charles Franklin, I bring you a chart showing the trend in five questions that have Read More…

Polling on a Timetable for Withdrawal

June 27, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on Polling on a Timetable for Withdrawal

The national polls released over the last few weeks have included a flurry of new or updated questions on proposals to set a "timetable" forRead More…

The Battle of the Bulge Poll

June 23, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal15 Comments on The Battle of the Bulge Poll

Last Sunday, Bush press secretary Tony Snow speculated about what polls might have shown during World War II:  "If somebody had taken a pollRead More…

Update II: Military Social Conservatives

June 21, 2006November 14, 2019 Mark Blumenthal31 Comments on Update II: Military Social Conservatives

It gets more interesting.  Here is the promised update to the posts of the last two days, based on some fascinating analysis sent by Jason DempsRead More…

Update: Military Social Conservatives

June 20, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal4 Comments on Update: Military Social Conservatives

Let’s hear it for MP’s readers.  Both in comments and via email, I have heard from political scientists pointing to much better sources of data oRead More…

No “Social Conservatives” in the Career Military?

June 19, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal4 Comments on No “Social Conservatives” in the Career Military?

A reader emailed to ask about a comment made in a column last week by the Wall Street Journal’s Peggy Noonan (as noted by Mickey Kaus):  I’ve nevRead More…

Updates

June 15, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Updates

My apologies for the slow rate of posting this week.  I had a number of non-blog deadlines all fall within about week’s time and they have taken Read More…

The Latest from CBS & USAToday/Gallup

June 13, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on The Latest from CBS & USAToday/Gallup

Both USAToday/Gallup and CBS News are out with new polls this week that provide slightly conflicting views of the impact of the death last week of AbRead More…

The First Iowa Caucus Poll

June 12, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal4 Comments on The First Iowa Caucus Poll

Yesterday, the Des Moines Register released the first public poll asking likely participants about how they might vote in the 2008 Iowa Democratic CauRead More…

The Netroots Survey at YearlyKos

June 10, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on The Netroots Survey at YearlyKos

A note for regular readers:  I am flying to the YearlyKos Conference in Las Vegas this morning to help present a unique survey later today of theRead More…

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