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Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Year: 2006

CT: No Exit Polls Today (Make that One Exit Poll – See Updates)

August 8, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal25 Comments on CT: No Exit Polls Today (Make that One Exit Poll – See Updates)

I noticed several hundred (at least) incoming Google searches on various combination of "Connecticut exit poll Lieberman Lamont,"  so lRead More…

A Lesson Learned the Hard Way

August 8, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal10 Comments on A Lesson Learned the Hard Way

For those waiting on the results of the today’s Connecticut primary, here is a cautionary tale about the limits of polling in a primary election.&nbspRead More…

Still More Connecticut

August 7, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal9 Comments on Still More Connecticut

Quinnipiac has released another poll in Connecticut this morning that has the political web sites buzzing, perhaps a bit too much.   While Read More…

CT Sen: Another Quinnipiac Poll

August 4, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal6 Comments on CT Sen: Another Quinnipiac Poll

By now it seems that the entire political blogosphere has taken note of the latest Quinnipiac poll of Connecticut primary voters showing Net Lamont lRead More…

MP is Hiring

August 2, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on MP is Hiring

I am hiring to fill an immediate opening for a full-time, entry-level analyst/researcher/assistant to work with me in Washington exclusively on MP.&nbRead More…

The Pew Media Study

August 2, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

The Pew Research Center released results a few days ago from its biennial study of American’s media consumption habits (report, printable PDF, toplineRead More…

The NPR Survey and the Race for Control of Congress

August 1, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal9 Comments on The NPR Survey and the Race for Control of Congress

Of the many national polls released last week, the most intriguing was the survey released by NPR of likely voters in the 50 competitive congressionaRead More…

Bush Job Approval Update

July 28, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Bush Job Approval Update

This week brought a slew of new national surveys, but the trend in the Bush approval rating appears to be essentially flat since mid-June.  TRead More…

Even More on Measurement Error

July 27, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

Tuesday’s post on a question wording experiment by Rasmussen Reports yielded some interesting comments and email.  Here is a sample. The RasmRead More…

Rasmussen Update: A Lesson in Measurement Error

July 25, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on Rasmussen Update: A Lesson in Measurement Error

Although still playing catch-up on the “day job,” I want to highlight something that has appeared without fanfare over the last week on Bush job apprRead More…

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