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Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Year: 2006

Pew Research Center: No Bounce

February 8, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Pew Research Center: No Bounce

Another all too busy day at MP world headquarters leaves me just enough time to pass along links to the latest survey from the Pew Research Center (reRead More…

The Numbers Guy on Domestic Eavesdropping Polls

February 7, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on The Numbers Guy on Domestic Eavesdropping Polls

Ah the travails of the not-yet-full-time blogger.  Expecting an unusually busy day, I woke early this morning to write up a post on this week’s cRead More…

SOTU Update: Putting it Into Context

February 6, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

I cannot help adding one more footnote to our discussion about "instant reaction" polls conducted after the State of the Union (SOTU) speecRead More…

SOTU Update: Nielsen Ratings

February 3, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on SOTU Update: Nielsen Ratings

One of the big questions I have about the instant reaction polling on the State of the Union (SOTU) address is the size of the audience and how it haRead More…

SOTU Instant Reaction Update

February 1, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

As expected, both Gallup and CBS News conducted instant analysis surveys among debate watchers last night.  Last night, Gallup called back responRead More…

SOTU: On Bounces and Spin

January 31, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on SOTU: On Bounces and Spin

From the polling perspective, if recent history repeats itself, we can assume two things will occur after the President’s State of the Union (SOTU) sRead More…

Pre-SOTU Polls

January 30, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal8 Comments on Pre-SOTU Polls

The last week  brought a batch of new surveys from the national pollsters.  While these include new questions that go into great depth on pRead More…

Update: The MyDD Poll

January 29, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal8 Comments on Update: The MyDD Poll

The MyDD survey that we discussed last week is now complete, and the site is rolling out the results over the weekend (here, here and here so far, witRead More…

Palestinian Exit Polls

January 27, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Palestinian Exit Polls

Wednesday’s Palestinian elections once again highlight the shortcomings of exit polls as a tool for projecting election results.  One of the manyRead More…

Party ID Updates

January 26, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Party ID Updates

Here is another quick update on some interesting releases over the last week or so on the subject of party identification from Harris and Gallup.&nbspRead More…

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