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Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Month: January 2006

SOTU: On Bounces and Spin

January 31, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on SOTU: On Bounces and Spin

From the polling perspective, if recent history repeats itself, we can assume two things will occur after the President’s State of the Union (SOTU) sRead More…

Pre-SOTU Polls

January 30, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal8 Comments on Pre-SOTU Polls

The last week  brought a batch of new surveys from the national pollsters.  While these include new questions that go into great depth on pRead More…

Update: The MyDD Poll

January 29, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal8 Comments on Update: The MyDD Poll

The MyDD survey that we discussed last week is now complete, and the site is rolling out the results over the weekend (here, here and here so far, witRead More…

Palestinian Exit Polls

January 27, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Palestinian Exit Polls

Wednesday’s Palestinian elections once again highlight the shortcomings of exit polls as a tool for projecting election results.  One of the manyRead More…

Party ID Updates

January 26, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Party ID Updates

Here is another quick update on some interesting releases over the last week or so on the subject of party identification from Harris and Gallup.&nbspRead More…

The MyDD Poll

January 23, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal10 Comments on The MyDD Poll

While we’re on the topic of poll questions commissioned by web sites on the blogosphere’s left wing, here is a truly innovative development:  TheRead More…

Diageo/Hotline Updates

January 21, 2006November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on Diageo/Hotline Updates

A very busy end-of-week left me with only enough time to note the latest Diageo/Hotline poll which was released on Thursday (press release, results, Read More…

Polling on Impeachment – Part 1

January 19, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal12 Comments on Polling on Impeachment – Part 1

At a town hall meeting in San Francisco on Monday, according to a report in the LA Times, Democratic Minority Leader. Nancy Pelosi had to shout "Read More…

More Bush Job Rating Polls

January 17, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on More Bush Job Rating Polls

Just have time to post links to a few new surveys that included the Bush job rating that I had not seen last week or that have been released since.&nbRead More…

On “Oversamples” and the AP-IPSOS MLK Holiday Poll

January 16, 2006October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on On “Oversamples” and the AP-IPSOS MLK Holiday Poll

The Associated Press, in its usual partnership with IPSOS, released a survey yesterday (story, results & methodology) on attitudes on today’s holiRead More…

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