Columbus Dispatch Poll: Past Performance No Guarantee of Future Results
“Past performance is no guarantee of future results.” We typically hear that disclaimer applied to financial investments, but in an era of declRead More…
Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal
“Past performance is no guarantee of future results.” We typically hear that disclaimer applied to financial investments, but in an era of declRead More…
I have been focusing for the last several days on a post on the Columbus Dispatch poll controversy. I had hoped to have it up two days ago, but Read More…
MP readers may want to check out the new feature from Washington Post blogger/columnist Chris Cillizza (aka "The Fix") called "Parsing Read More…
And then there were nine. With the latest survey out last night from Gallup/CNN/USAToday, we now have nine national surveys released this monthRead More…
Last week, this site quietly passed the milestone of one million page views, as tracked by Sitemeter. Now as MP will be the first to note, the Read More…
One lesson for MP is to allow for more blogging time on the day after an election. But on the theory that a little late is better than never, hRead More…
While we wait for election returns – yes, actual returns this time, not leaked exit polls – in the key off-year contests, MP finds himself coming backRead More…
National Journal’s free Hotline on Call reports that we will have no leaked exit polls to speculate about today in New Jersey, Virginia and CaliforniaRead More…
Three of the organizations doing surveys in California released new polls today. Here are links to their releases: Survey USA – 2,056 Read More…
Picking up where we left off yesterday, if we want to understand the contradicting results in some of the public polls on California’s special electiRead More…