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MysteryPollster

Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Year: 2005

Bush “Bump Up” Update: CBS/NYTimes Poll

December 8, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal6 Comments on Bush “Bump Up” Update: CBS/NYTimes Poll

The latest CBS News/New York Times survey out this morning (conducted December 2-6) shows a five percentage point gain in President Bush’s approval raRead More…

More on Rasmussen

December 7, 2005November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on More on Rasmussen

I want to follow-up briefly on one point raised by yesterday’s post on recent patterns in the Bush job rating.  Professor Franklin’s graphic shoRead More…

A Bush Revival?

December 6, 2005November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on A Bush Revival?

Are the Bush job approval numbers reviving?  That is what a lot of MP’s readers have been wondering, especially those who (like Mickey Kaus) folRead More…

Polling the “Strategy for Victory”

December 5, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal8 Comments on Polling the “Strategy for Victory”

A story on the front of Sunday’s New York Times shines new light on the work on support for the Iraq War by Chris Gelpi, Peter Feaver, and Jason ReiflRead More…

The RT Strategies Iraq Poll

December 2, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal18 Comments on The RT Strategies Iraq Poll

Yesterday’s front-page analysis of President Bush’s Iraq speech earlier this week by the Washington Post’s Peter Baker included a reference to some reRead More…

Polling Holiday Sales

November 30, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

The Wall Street Journal’s "Numbers Guy" Carl Bialik takes a look this week at the various measures used to estimate retail sales over the ThRead More…

Dispatch Poll: Questionnaire Language

November 28, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Dispatch Poll: Questionnaire Language

A quick update on the Columbus Dispatch poll: The folks at the Dispatch have kindly provided the full text of the questions asked on their final pre-eRead More…

Pre-Thanksgiving Odds & Ends

November 23, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on Pre-Thanksgiving Odds & Ends

Just enough time today to pass on a few odds and ends before taking a few days off for the holiday:   
A New Poll – We have another nationalRead More…

Ohio Update: The AG’s Opinion on Paper Ballots

November 22, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on Ohio Update: The AG’s Opinion on Paper Ballots

At end of my long post on the recent problems with the Columbus Dispatch poll, I passed along a tip from an Ohio election lawyer that a recent "oRead More…

Ballot Issues: How Do We Know?

November 21, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on Ballot Issues: How Do We Know?

I was reading through an embarrassingly long backlog of email today and came across one message I meant to respond to weeks ago.  In my first posRead More…

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