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MysteryPollster

Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Year: 2005

Flu

February 2, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on Flu

Just wanted to explain the lack of posts.  Apparently, my two year old has been hanging out with Hilary Clinton or her staff, because she broughtRead More…

NEP Data Available Online

January 31, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on NEP Data Available Online

Unfortunately, my blogging time is short today but want to quickly pass on one bit of news (thanks to Rick Brady of Stones Cry Out for the tip): Read More…

Professor M

January 28, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal27 Comments on Professor M

Following up on a lesson learned from the last post, that a story can sometimes make a point more powerfully than a lot of arcane data, I decided to sRead More…

The War Room

January 27, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal16 Comments on The War Room

Of the newly disclosed data in the Edison/Mitofsky report on this year’s exit polls, some of the most important concern results from past elections. Read More…

Numbers Guys

January 25, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal4 Comments on Numbers Guys

This past Sunday Daniel Okrent, the new "Public Editor" of the New York Times, pondered the shortcomings of reporting on numbers, both in hiRead More…

The “Reluctant Bush Responder” Theory Refuted?

January 21, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal58 Comments on The “Reluctant Bush Responder” Theory Refuted?

First, my apologies for not posting yesterday. The Inauguration was also a federal holiday, which meant no child care in my household and a day of beRead More…

Impressions on the Exit Poll Report

January 20, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal28 Comments on Impressions on the Exit Poll Report

I wanted to read the full 77 pages of the Edison/Mitofsky report in full before weighing in.  It took much of the day, but here are some first imRead More…

“Media Whore” Alert*

January 19, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on “Media Whore” Alert*

I am likely to be on ABC’s Nightline tonight.  This evening’s broadcast, barring other "breaking news," will examine the various questiRead More…

Breaking News: NEP Releases Full Report

January 19, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal21 Comments on Breaking News: NEP Releases Full Report

A bit of breaking news:  The full 77-page "evaluation" of the exit polls prepared by the firms that conducted the exit polls was releasRead More…

NEP to Release Edison/Mitofsky Report?

January 18, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on NEP to Release Edison/Mitofsky Report?

This morning, USA Today’s Mark Memmott reports that this week, Edison/Mitofsky, the firm that conducted the National Election Pool (NEP) exit polls, &Read More…

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