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Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Month: November 2005

Polling Holiday Sales

November 30, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

The Wall Street Journal’s "Numbers Guy" Carl Bialik takes a look this week at the various measures used to estimate retail sales over the ThRead More…

Dispatch Poll: Questionnaire Language

November 28, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Dispatch Poll: Questionnaire Language

A quick update on the Columbus Dispatch poll: The folks at the Dispatch have kindly provided the full text of the questions asked on their final pre-eRead More…

Pre-Thanksgiving Odds & Ends

November 23, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on Pre-Thanksgiving Odds & Ends

Just enough time today to pass on a few odds and ends before taking a few days off for the holiday:   
A New Poll – We have another nationalRead More…

Ohio Update: The AG’s Opinion on Paper Ballots

November 22, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on Ohio Update: The AG’s Opinion on Paper Ballots

At end of my long post on the recent problems with the Columbus Dispatch poll, I passed along a tip from an Ohio election lawyer that a recent "oRead More…

Ballot Issues: How Do We Know?

November 21, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on Ballot Issues: How Do We Know?

I was reading through an embarrassingly long backlog of email today and came across one message I meant to respond to weeks ago.  In my first posRead More…

Columbus Dispatch Poll: Past Performance No Guarantee of Future Results

November 18, 2005November 14, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on Columbus Dispatch Poll: Past Performance No Guarantee of Future Results

“Past performance is no guarantee of future results.”  We typically hear that disclaimer applied to financial investments, but in an era of declRead More…

Ohio Dispatch Poll: Stay Tuned

November 18, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on Ohio Dispatch Poll: Stay Tuned

I have been focusing for the last several days on a post on the Columbus Dispatch poll controversy.  I had hoped to have it up two days ago, but Read More…

Cillizza’s Polling Fix

November 16, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on Cillizza’s Polling Fix

MP readers may want to check out the new feature from Washington Post blogger/columnist Chris Cillizza (aka "The Fix") called "Parsing Read More…

Compared to What?

November 15, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Compared to What?

And then there were nine.  With the latest survey out last night from Gallup/CNN/USAToday, we now have nine national surveys released this monthRead More…

News Roundup: The Hits Keep on Coming

November 14, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on News Roundup: The Hits Keep on Coming

Last week, this site quietly passed the milestone of one million page views, as tracked by Sitemeter.  Now as MP will be the first to note, the Read More…

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