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Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Month: October 2005

Watch Out for the Easy Out

October 29, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on Watch Out for the Easy Out

As of last week (before yesterday’s indictment news) what portion of Americans believed “Bush administration officials” did something “illegal or uneRead More…

How Low Can It Go? – Epilogue

October 25, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal6 Comments on How Low Can It Go? – Epilogue

Two days of airports and MP continues to play catch-up at the office, so just another quickie post today: Today’s streaming video “Daily Briefing”Read More…

California Propositions: Pollster Showdown

October 24, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

MP apologizes for sparse posting over the next day or so, as his "day job" with little time for blogging. In the meantime, readers may wantRead More…

How Low Can It Go?

October 19, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal9 Comments on How Low Can It Go?

Following up on yesterday’s post, reader ZH asked some reasonable questions about presidential approval ratings: How low does a president’s approvRead More…

Diageo/Hotline Poll: Same Poll, New Name

October 19, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on Diageo/Hotline Poll: Same Poll, New Name

The latest poll is out from National Journal’s Hotline, although now with a new sponsor and two new names:  The Diageo/Hotline poll conducted by Read More…

Getting Past the Noise: Bush Slide Continues

October 18, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on Getting Past the Noise: Bush Slide Continues

The release of new results from six major public pollsters over the last two weeks provides a great opportunity to learn something about both the limRead More…

UPDATE: 2% Among African-Americans?

October 15, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on UPDATE: 23 Among African-Americans?

A quick update on yesterday’s post:  First, some of those who left comments yesterday seem to miss the main point.  MP has no doubt that AfRead More…

2% Among African-Americans?

October 14, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal20 Comments on 220 Among African-Americans?

Has George Bush’s job approval among African Americans really fallen to just 2%?  While MP was off atoning for his sins, several national pollstRead More…

SurveyUSA on Miers

October 7, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on SurveyUSA on Miers

MP somehow overlooked that Survey USA is now running two separate automated tracking polls on the Miers nomination (see previous commentary on their Read More…

CBS on Miers

October 7, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal10 Comments on CBS on Miers

Last night, CBS News released a new and very comprehensive survey conducted Monday through Wednesday evenings this week (The CBS web site has completRead More…

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