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MysteryPollster

Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Month: January 2005

On Electoral Reform

January 13, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal10 Comments on On Electoral Reform

This site aims to be about political polling and opinion surveys, not about voting irregularities or election reform. Nonetheless, since the controverRead More…

More on n-Sizes and National Exit Poll Regions

January 13, 2005November 12, 2019 Mark Blumenthal15 Comments on More on n-Sizes and National Exit Poll Regions

Tonight I want to take up some additional questions readers have asked about the new exit poll data, specifically those about the regional compositioRead More…

Fun With Unweighted Interview Counts

January 10, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal34 Comments on Fun With Unweighted Interview Counts

[UPDATE:  The original version of this post included a small error that may have added to the confusion on this issue.   See my correctRead More…

Koufax Award

January 8, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on Koufax Award

An alert and loyal reader (thanks DC) tipped me off to a very gratifying honor for this not quite four-month-old blog:  Mystery Pollster has beenRead More…

More Fun with Exit Polls

January 7, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal40 Comments on More Fun with Exit Polls

Salon.com’s Farhad Manjoo has an excellent article, "More Fun With Exit Polls,"  out today on the continuing controversy that MP has beRead More…

The “Smoking Gun” Part II

January 5, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal50 Comments on The “Smoking Gun” Part II

Today’s must read for polling junkies is undoubtedly the exchange between Warren Mitofsky and Mickey Kaus (on the "smoking gun" item I bloggRead More…

Those Leaked PDFs

January 4, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal54 Comments on Those Leaked PDFs

About those newly leaked exit poll numbers. Early this morning, Mickey Kaus linked to my earlier post the recently leaked exit poll documents and declRead More…

More on (Sigh…) Exit Polls

January 3, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal15 Comments on More on (Sigh…) Exit Polls

Looks like my New Year’s resolution to change the subject won’t last through my first day back. As those who read the comments on this blog probablyRead More…

We Agree

January 3, 2005October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

Speaking of Ruy (and putting on my partisan Democratic hat for a moment):  On this topic, we completely agree.  Read More…

“Final” Results

January 3, 2005November 13, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on “Final” Results

Some news from GMU Prof. Michael McDonald by way of Ruy Teixeira – the final tabulation of the national popular vote based on the “official” count: Read More…

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