The Race Tightens
As long as I’m back on the topic of debates, it is worth remembering that media coverage of the debate typically has more impact than the immediate reRead More…
Year: 2004
The Second Debate
A busy weekend has made me late to the party on the subject of debate reaction. For those who have not seen them, three survey organizations — GalluRead More…
The Bush Landslide of 2000?
A number of readers have asked about a question that regularly appears in surveys by conducted jointly by CBS and the New York Times: “Did you vote inRead More…
More on the Incumbent Rule
Several readers took strong exception to my discussion of the incumbent rule, the idea that undecided voters tend to “break” toward the incumbentchallRead More…
Housekeeping: Extended Posts?
As most of you have probably noticed, I have started using the “extended post” feature in the blogging software to continue longer posts on a jump pagRead More…
Why & How Pollsters Weight, Part II
In my last post on party identification, I promised to turn next to pollsters who weight by party. I’d like to finish up this thread with a discussioRead More…
Veep Debate
A quick take on the post debate polling. Andrew Sullivan (who kindly introduced many of you to this blog – thank you Andrew) gets it basically righRead More…
A Personal Note
I hesitate to discuss personal matters here, but I want to explain the lack of posts today: Unfortunately, my nearly two-year old daughter, who had bRead More…
New Format & URL
First, if you have visited the site before, you will notice some obvious changes, hopefully for the better. With a life saving consulting assist fromRead More…
The Incumbent Rule
In discussing recent poll results, I said last week that I tend to focus most on President Bush’s job rating and percentage of the vote (which tend toRead More…